Existence of Causation without Correlation in Transcriptional Networks

It is commonly assumed that lack of correlation is evidence for lack of causal relationship. Here, however we show that in transcriptional networks, causal linkages can exist in the absence of correlation. We find that a substantial proportion of transcribed genes in yeast and in mouse, show evidence of state-dependent (nonlinear) and temporally coordinated dynamics in their expression patterns (65-77%). Using a test that accommodates this fact, we uncover strong causal relationships that are invisible to correlation-based analyses for both yeast and mouse models. Specifically, for yeast we detect uncorrelated causal relationships for the transcriptional regulators <i>WHI5</i> and <i>YHP1,</i> and can verify these relationships experimentally. These genes reside at important checkpoints in the cell cycle where multiple signals are integrated at single nodes, giving rise to causal relationships, that despite being uncorrelated, can be accurately detected (71-78%) using a nonlinear causality test.

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Publication Details

Journal
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)
Published
2026-02-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.02.09.704821
Primary Topic
Gene Regulatory Network Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Existence of Causation without Correlation in Transcriptional Networks

Manching Ku, Curt Wittenberg, George Sugihara, Ethan R. Deyle et al.
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)
Gene Regulatory Network Analysis
article

Existence of Causation without Correlation in Transcriptional Networks

Manching Ku, Curt Wittenberg, George Sugihara, Ethan R. Deyle, Tom Lorimer, Nina Tonnu, Eugene Ke, Gerald M. Pao, Inder M. Verma, Joseph Park, Erik Saberski, Marisela Guaderrma, Hao Ye, Junko Ogawa
article en

Abstract

It is commonly assumed that lack of correlation is evidence for lack of causal relationship. Here, however we show that in transcriptional networks, causal linkages can exist in the absence of correlation. We find that a substantial proportion of transcribed genes in yeast and in mouse, show evidence of state-dependent (nonlinear) and temporally coordinated dynamics in their expression patterns (65-77%). Using a test that accommodates this fact, we uncover strong causal relationships that are invisible to correlation-based analyses for both yeast and mouse models. Specifically, for yeast we detect uncorrelated causal relationships for the transcriptional regulators <i>WHI5</i> and <i>YHP1,</i> and can verify these relationships experimentally. These genes reside at important checkpoints in the cell cycle where multiple signals are integrated at single nodes, giving rise to causal relationships, that despite being uncorrelated, can be accurately detected (71-78%) using a nonlinear causality test.

bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)
Tufts University (US), Scripps Research Institute (US), Salk Institute for Biological Studies (US), Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (JP), Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US), University of California San Diego (US), Mammoth Biosciences (United States) (US), University of Virginia (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 62%
Gene Regulatory Network Analysis
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