To be or not to be: Roughness or long memory in volatility?
We develop a framework for composite likelihood estimation of parametric continuous-time stationary Gaussian processes. We derive the asymptotic theory of the associated maximum composite likelihood estimator. We implement our approach on a pair of models that have been proposed to describe the random log-spot variance of financial asset returns. A simulation study shows that it delivers good performance in these settings and improves upon a method-of-moments estimation. In an empirical investigation, we inspect the dynamic of an intraday measure of the spot log-realized variance computed with high-frequency data from the cryptocurrency market. The evidence supports a mechanism, where the short- and long-term correlation structure of stochastic volatility are decoupled in order to capture its properties at different time scales. This is further backed by an analysis of the associated spot log-trading volume.
Authors
- Mikkel Bennedsen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8040-1442)
- Kim Christensen
- Peter Christensen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0930-8661)
Institutions
- Danish Institute for International Studies (DK)
- Aarhus University (DK)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Econometrics
- Published
- 2026-02-09
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2026.106193
- Primary Topic
- Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00