Predictive modelling of the dynamics of antimicrobial resistance: creation of a bank of renewable models based on machine learning

The bank of models created on the basis of LightGBM provides for precise forecasting of the dynamics of AMR and the formation of strategies for the management of antimicrobial therapy. An optimization of consumption according to the results of the modelling is capable of reducing resistance by 15-20%. The AMCmodel.ru platform provides tools for real-time decision-making. An online platform AMCmodel.ru has been developed for data visualization, access to models and forecast generation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Frontiers in Pharmacology
Published
2026-02-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3389/fphar.2026.1715346
Primary Topic
Antibiotic Use and Resistance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Predictive modelling of the dynamics of antimicrobial resistance: creation of a bank of renewable models based on machine learning

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Predictive modelling of the dynamics of antimicrobial resistance: creation of a bank of renewable models based on machine learning

Yu. M. Gomon, S. V. Sidorenko, A. S. Kolbin, A. A. Kurylev, R. S. Kozlov, M. A. Arepyeva, A. Y. Kuzmenkov, A. A. Starostenkov, Y. E. Balykina
article en

Abstract

The bank of models created on the basis of LightGBM provides for precise forecasting of the dynamics of AMR and the formation of strategies for the management of antimicrobial therapy. An optimization of consumption according to the results of the modelling is capable of reducing resistance by 15-20%. The AMCmodel.ru platform provides tools for real-time decision-making. An online platform AMCmodel.ru has been developed for data visualization, access to models and forecast generation.

Frontiers in PharmacologyVol. 17
St Petersburg University (RU), First Pavlov State Medical University of St. Petersburg (RU), Smolensk State Medical University (RU), North-Western State Medical University named after I.I. Mechnikov (RU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 54%
Antibiotic Use and Resistance
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