Interpretable rules for online failure prediction: a case study on metro do porto datasets

Abstract Predictive maintenance applications have increasingly been approached with deep learning techniques in recent years due to their high predictive performance. However, as in other real-world application scenarios, the need for explainability is often stated but not sufficiently addressed, which can limit adoption in practice. In this study, we will focus on predicting failures of trains operating in Porto, Portugal. While recent works have found high-performing deep neural network architectures that feature a parallel explainability pipeline, we find that the generated explanations can be hard to comprehend in practice due to their low support over the failure range. In this work, we propose a novel online rule-learning approach that is able to generate simple rules that cover the entirety of the detected failures. We evaluate our method against AMRules, a state-of-the-art online rule-learning approach, on two datasets gathered from trains operated by Metro do Porto. Our experiments show that our approach consistently generates rules with very high support that are simultaneously short and interpretable.