The Local Distance Network: A community consensus report on the measurement of the Hubble constant at ∼1% precision

Context. The direct empirical determination of the local value of the Hubble constant (H0) has markedly advanced thanks to improved instrumentation, measurement techniques, and distance estimators. However, combining determinations from different estimators is nontrivial due to their correlated calibrations and different analysis methodologies.Aims. Using covariance weighting and leveraging community expertise, we have constructed a rigorous and transparent "Distance Network" to find a consensus value and uncertainty for the locally measured Hubble constant.Methods. Experts across all relevant distance measurement domains were invited to critically review the available datasets spanning parallaxes, detached eclipsing binaries, masers, Cepheids, the tip of the red giant branch, Miras, carbon-rich asymptotic giant branch stars, Type Ia (SNe Ia) and Type II supernovae, surface brightness fluctuations, the fundamental plane, and Tully-Fisher relations. Before any calculations, the group voted for first-rank indicators to define a "baseline" Distance Network. Other indicators were included to assess the robustness and sensitivity of the results. We provide open-source software and data products to support full transparency and future extensions of this effort.Results. Our key findings are as follows: (1) The local H0 is robustly determined, with first-rank indicators internally consistent within their uncertainties. (2) A covariance-weighted combination yields a relative uncertainty of 1.1% (baseline) or 0.9% (all estimators). (3) The contribution from SNe Ia is consistent across compilations of optical or NIR magnitudes. (4) Removing either Cepheids or the tip of the red giant branch has a minimal effect on the central value of H0. (5) Replacing SNe Ia with galaxy-based indicators changes H0 by less than 0.1 km s-1 Mpc-1 while doubling its uncertainty. (6) The baseline result is H0 = 73.50 +/- 0.81 km s-1 Mpc-1, 7.1 sigma from the early Universe plus Lambda CDM result 67.24 +/- 0.35 km s-1 Mpc-1 and 5.0 sigma from BBN+BAO within a flat Lambda CDM DESI DR2 (68.51 +/- 0.58 km s-1 Mpc-1).Conclusions. A networked approach, such as the one presented here, is invaluable for enabling further progress in Hubble constant measurements, as it provides the much needed advances in accuracy and precision without overreliance on any single method, sample, or group.

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Publication Details

Journal
White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York)
Published
2026-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202557993/pdf
Primary Topic
Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
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article
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article

The Local Distance Network: A community consensus report on the measurement of the Hubble constant at ∼1% precision

John P. Blakeslee, Paula Boubel, Stefano Casertano, Emre Özülker et al.
White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York)
Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
article

The Local Distance Network: A community consensus report on the measurement of the Hubble constant at ∼1% precision

John P. Blakeslee, Paula Boubel, Stefano Casertano, Emre Özülker, M. Romaniello, G. Csörnyei, Anupam Bhardwaj, D. Graczyk, Joseph B. Jensen, Siyang Li, A. Nota, Caroline D. Huang, Mauricio Cruz Reyes, T. Sicignano, Suhail Dhawas, Lucas Macri, Hector Gil-Marín, Dominic W. Pesce, Dan Scolnic, Thomas de Jaeger, Bruno Leibundgut, Syed A. Uddin, Nils Schöneberg, Pierre Kervella, Bastian Lengen, John P. Blakeslee, Rachael Beaton, Eleonora Di Valentino, Michele Cantiello, Richard I. Anderson, Lluís Galbany, Dillon Brout, Adam Riess, Gagandeep Anand, Khaled Said, Stefano Casertano, Dorota M. Skowron, Louise Breuval
article en

Abstract

Context. The direct empirical determination of the local value of the Hubble constant (H0) has markedly advanced thanks to improved instrumentation, measurement techniques, and distance estimators. However, combining determinations from different estimators is nontrivial due to their correlated calibrations and different analysis methodologies.Aims. Using covariance weighting and leveraging community expertise, we have constructed a rigorous and transparent "Distance Network" to find a consensus value and uncertainty for the locally measured Hubble constant.Methods. Experts across all relevant distance measurement domains were invited to critically review the available datasets spanning parallaxes, detached eclipsing binaries, masers, Cepheids, the tip of the red giant branch, Miras, carbon-rich asymptotic giant branch stars, Type Ia (SNe Ia) and Type II supernovae, surface brightness fluctuations, the fundamental plane, and Tully-Fisher relations. Before any calculations, the group voted for first-rank indicators to define a "baseline" Distance Network. Other indicators were included to assess the robustness and sensitivity of the results. We provide open-source software and data products to support full transparency and future extensions of this effort.Results. Our key findings are as follows: (1) The local H0 is robustly determined, with first-rank indicators internally consistent within their uncertainties. (2) A covariance-weighted combination yields a relative uncertainty of 1.1% (baseline) or 0.9% (all estimators). (3) The contribution from SNe Ia is consistent across compilations of optical or NIR magnitudes. (4) Removing either Cepheids or the tip of the red giant branch has a minimal effect on the central value of H0. (5) Replacing SNe Ia with galaxy-based indicators changes H0 by less than 0.1 km s-1 Mpc-1 while doubling its uncertainty. (6) The baseline result is H0 = 73.50 +/- 0.81 km s-1 Mpc-1, 7.1 sigma from the early Universe plus Lambda CDM result 67.24 +/- 0.35 km s-1 Mpc-1 and 5.0 sigma from BBN+BAO within a flat Lambda CDM DESI DR2 (68.51 +/- 0.58 km s-1 Mpc-1).Conclusions. A networked approach, such as the one presented here, is invaluable for enabling further progress in Hubble constant measurements, as it provides the much needed advances in accuracy and precision without overreliance on any single method, sample, or group.

White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York)
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
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