Spatio-temporal trends in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality due to elderly: a global perspective

COVID-19 spread worldwide after emerging at the end of 2020 with a higher spread and death among the elderly and varies across the continent and country. This study aimed to investigate the spatio-temporal trends in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality due to the elderly. COVID-19 infected cases and death data were converted into morbidity and mortality rates per 1,000 population. Thematic maps were used for spatial illustration over time. Linear and Theil-Sen regression models were used to estimate the rate of change in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality due to the elderly. The results revealed a significant relation and change in the global COVID-19 morbidity and mortality rates due to the elderly population (p-value < 0.05). Europe experienced the highest rate of change in COVID-19 morbidity due to the elderly population, followed by Oceania and North America. Moreover, the elderly proportion had the greatest rate of change in COVID-19 mortality in North America, followed by Europe and Africa. The results of this study will enable researchers and experts for data-driven decisions that are more resilient. Moreover, it enables healthcare experts and policymakers to develop guidelines to improve preparedness for future pandemics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-02-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-37968-z
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
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article

Spatio-temporal trends in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality due to elderly: a global perspective

Apiradee Lim, Rohani Jeharsae, Haris Khurram, Jeayareeyoh Jeasoh
Scientific Reports
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

Spatio-temporal trends in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality due to elderly: a global perspective

Apiradee Lim, Rohani Jeharsae, Haris Khurram, Jeayareeyoh Jeasoh
article en

Abstract

COVID-19 spread worldwide after emerging at the end of 2020 with a higher spread and death among the elderly and varies across the continent and country. This study aimed to investigate the spatio-temporal trends in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality due to the elderly. COVID-19 infected cases and death data were converted into morbidity and mortality rates per 1,000 population. Thematic maps were used for spatial illustration over time. Linear and Theil-Sen regression models were used to estimate the rate of change in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality due to the elderly. The results revealed a significant relation and change in the global COVID-19 morbidity and mortality rates due to the elderly population (p-value < 0.05). Europe experienced the highest rate of change in COVID-19 morbidity due to the elderly population, followed by Oceania and North America. Moreover, the elderly proportion had the greatest rate of change in COVID-19 mortality in North America, followed by Europe and Africa. The results of this study will enable researchers and experts for data-driven decisions that are more resilient. Moreover, it enables healthcare experts and policymakers to develop guidelines to improve preparedness for future pandemics.

Scientific ReportsVol. 16(1)
Prince of Songkla University (TH), National University of Computer and Emerging Sciences (PK), University of Faisalabad (PK)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 66%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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Spatio-temporal trends in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality due to elderly: a global perspective — Apiradee Lim, Rohani Jeharsae, et al. · Scientific Reports (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS