Dynamics of a Zika epidemic model with saturated incidence in spatially heterogeneous environments

To explore the influence of spatial heterogeneity on Zika virus (ZIKV), we formulate a reaction-diffusion model with a saturated incidence rate to better capture these real world dynamics. The basic reproduction number $\mathfrak{R}_{0}$ is derived, and threshold dynamics are established. When $\mathfrak{R}_{0}<1$, the disease will eventually die out; when $\mathfrak{R}_{0}>1$, the infection becomes uniformly persistent, and the system admits at least one endemic equilibrium. Numerical simulations validate the theoretical findings and further illustrate how spatial heterogeneity affects the spread and persistence of ZIKV. These findings underscore the importance of region specific control measures in managing ZIKV transmission.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
Published
2026-02-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-026-04077-0
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Dynamics of a Zika epidemic model with saturated incidence in spatially heterogeneous environments

Yanfei Dai, Shuangshuang Zhou, Shubo Chen, Qian Ding
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

Dynamics of a Zika epidemic model with saturated incidence in spatially heterogeneous environments

Yanfei Dai, Shuangshuang Zhou, Shubo Chen, Qian Ding
article en

Abstract

To explore the influence of spatial heterogeneity on Zika virus (ZIKV), we formulate a reaction-diffusion model with a saturated incidence rate to better capture these real world dynamics. The basic reproduction number $\mathfrak{R}_{0}$ is derived, and threshold dynamics are established. When $\mathfrak{R}_{0}<1$, the disease will eventually die out; when $\mathfrak{R}_{0}>1$, the infection becomes uniformly persistent, and the system admits at least one endemic equilibrium. Numerical simulations validate the theoretical findings and further illustrate how spatial heterogeneity affects the spread and persistence of ZIKV. These findings underscore the importance of region specific control measures in managing ZIKV transmission.

Advances in Continuous and Discrete ModelsVol. 2026(1)
Zhejiang Normal University (CN), Hunan City University (CN)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 66%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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Dynamics of a Zika epidemic model with saturated incidence in spatially heterogeneous environments — Yanfei Dai, Shuangshuang Zhou, et al. · Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS