Tariffs, taxes and wages in the age of artificial intelligence

Abstract We formulate a model of an open economy with three final goods sectors, one of which uses a continuum of tasks as inputs. Skilled labor or artificial intelligence (AI), which is produced using skilled labor and capital, can conduct these tasks. We explore the effects of technical progress in AI, showing how AI competes with skilled labor in tasks and the consequences for wage inequality and the skill premium. We consider the effectiveness of trade tariffs and a direct AI tax to counter negative impacts of advancements in AI technology on the range of tasks performed by skilled labor.

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Publication Details

Journal
Economic Inquiry
Published
2026-02-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.70048
Primary Topic
Economic and Technological Innovation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Tariffs, taxes and wages in the age of artificial intelligence

Onur A. Koska, J. Gilbert, Reza Oladi
Economic Inquiry
Economic and Technological Innovation
article

Tariffs, taxes and wages in the age of artificial intelligence

Onur A. Koska, J. Gilbert, Reza Oladi
article en

Abstract

Abstract We formulate a model of an open economy with three final goods sectors, one of which uses a continuum of tasks as inputs. Skilled labor or artificial intelligence (AI), which is produced using skilled labor and capital, can conduct these tasks. We explore the effects of technical progress in AI, showing how AI competes with skilled labor in tasks and the consequences for wage inequality and the skill premium. We consider the effectiveness of trade tariffs and a direct AI tax to counter negative impacts of advancements in AI technology on the range of tasks performed by skilled labor.

Economic Inquiry
Utah State University (US), University of Canterbury (NZ)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Economic and Technological Innovation
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