A Prospective Study of Bioeconomy-Based Strategies in the Corn Sector Using a 2035 Time Horizon and the Delphi Method, S-Curves and Patent–Publication Matrices

This article presents a prospective analysis of the corn agro-industrial chain in Colombia up until 2035, using a mixed-methods approach that integrates technological surveillance, two rounds of the Delphi method, S-curve analysis, and patent–publication matrices and quadrants. Text-mining analysis was conducted using VantagePoint® v15.1 software, enabling the generation of multiple analytical outputs, including cluster maps, co-occurrence networks, and relational matrices. The study examines the dynamics of scientific and technological production related to the utilization of corn by-products and residues over the period 2003–2025. A total of 30 Delphi responses were collected from experts representing academia, industry, and government institutions in Argentina, Ecuador, Portugal, and Colombia. Based on expert consensus, the Delphi process identified 23 priority topics and 40 additional topics for discussion. Six priority themes were highlighted: (i) antioxidant and antimicrobial packaging derived from bioactive compounds extracted from corn by-products; (ii) bioethanol production; (iii) biodegradable straw manufactured from basket fibers; (iv) bioactive extracts for application in anti-aging cosmetic formulations; (v) modified biochar for the adsorption of ammonium and phosphate ions from aqueous systems; and (vi) the use of corn stover to enhance soil nitrogen content and grain yield. Finally, patent-based S-curve analysis and patent–publication matrices revealed notable asymmetries between scientific knowledge production and patenting activity, underscoring structural gaps in the translation of research into technological innovation within the corn agro-industrial sector.