LFTD: Transformer-Enhanced Diffusion Model for Realistic Financial Time-Series Data Generation
Firm-level financial statement data form multivariate annual time series with strong cross-variable dependencies and temporal dynamics, yet publicly available panels are often short and incomplete, limiting the generalization of predictive models. We present Latent Financial Time-Series Diffusion (LFTD), a structure-aware augmentation framework that synthesizes realistic firm-level financial time series in a compact latent space. LFTD first learns information-preserving representations with a dual encoder: an FT-Transformer that captures within-year interactions across financial variables and a Time Series Transformer (TST) that models long-horizon evolution across years. On this latent sequence, we train a Transformer-based denoising diffusion model whose reverse process is FiLM-conditioned on the diffusion step as well as year, firm identity, and firm age, enabling controllable generation aligned with firm- and time-specific context. A TST-based Cross-Decoder then reconstructs continuous and binary financial variables for each year. Empirical evaluation on Korean listed-firm data from 2011 to 2023 shows that augmenting training sets with LFTD-generated samples consistently improves firm-value prediction for market-to-book and Tobin’s Q under both static (same-year) and dynamic (τ → τ+1) forecasting settings and outperforms conventional generative augmentation baselines and ablated variants. These results suggest that domain-conditioned latent diffusion is a practical route to reliable augmentation for firm-level financial time series.
Authors
- Wook Song
- Hyungjoon Kim (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4580-489X)
- Hyungjong Na
- Donghyeon Jo
- Gyumun Choi
Institutions
- Changwon National University (KR)
- Semyung University (KR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- AI
- Published
- 2026-02-05
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/ai7020060
- Primary Topic
- Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- National Research Foundation
- Changwon National University
- Ministry of Education
- National Research Foundation of Korea