Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for Pairwise Differences of Means in Zero-Inflated Rayleigh Distributions with an Application to Road Accident Fatalities Data

This paper develops simultaneous confidence intervals (SCIs) for pairwise differences of means with zero-inflated Rayleigh (ZIR) distributions, a flexible framework for modeling positively skewed data with excess zeros. Closed-form expressions for the ZIR mean are derived, and several competing interval estimation procedures are investigated, including generalized confidence interval (GCI), parametric bootstrap (PB), method of variance estimates recovery (MOVER), delta-method normal approximation, and highest posterior density (HPD) intervals. The finite-sample performance of the proposed SCIs is examined via extensive Monte Carlo simulations, focusing on empirical coverage probabilities (CPs) and average interval lengths (ALs) over a broad range of parameter configurations and zero-inflation levels. A real data application to road accident fatality counts demonstrates the practical utility of the proposed methodology. The results show that the HPD method consistently achieves the most favorable balance between coverage accuracy and interval efficiency. Overall, this study advances reliable simultaneous inference for zero-inflated models commonly encountered in environmental, biomedical, and reliability studies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-02-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030569
Primary Topic
Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for Pairwise Differences of Means in Zero-Inflated Rayleigh Distributions with an Application to Road Accident Fatalities Data

Narudee Smithpreecha, Arunee Wongkhao, Warisa Thangjai, Sa-Aat Niwitpong
Mathematics
Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
article

Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for Pairwise Differences of Means in Zero-Inflated Rayleigh Distributions with an Application to Road Accident Fatalities Data

Narudee Smithpreecha, Arunee Wongkhao, Warisa Thangjai, Sa-Aat Niwitpong
article en

Abstract

This paper develops simultaneous confidence intervals (SCIs) for pairwise differences of means with zero-inflated Rayleigh (ZIR) distributions, a flexible framework for modeling positively skewed data with excess zeros. Closed-form expressions for the ZIR mean are derived, and several competing interval estimation procedures are investigated, including generalized confidence interval (GCI), parametric bootstrap (PB), method of variance estimates recovery (MOVER), delta-method normal approximation, and highest posterior density (HPD) intervals. The finite-sample performance of the proposed SCIs is examined via extensive Monte Carlo simulations, focusing on empirical coverage probabilities (CPs) and average interval lengths (ALs) over a broad range of parameter configurations and zero-inflation levels. A real data application to road accident fatality counts demonstrates the practical utility of the proposed methodology. The results show that the HPD method consistently achieves the most favorable balance between coverage accuracy and interval efficiency. Overall, this study advances reliable simultaneous inference for zero-inflated models commonly encountered in environmental, biomedical, and reliability studies.

MathematicsVol. 14(3)
Rajamangala University of Technology Phra Nakhon (TH), Ramkhamhaeng University (TH), Rajamangala University of Technology Lanna (TH), King Mongkut's University of Technology North Bangkok (TH)
King Mongkut's University of Technology North Bangkok
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
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Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for Pairwise Differences of Means in Zero-Inflated Rayleigh Distributions with an Application to Road Accident Fatalities Data — Narudee Smithpreecha, Arunee Wongkhao, et al. · Mathematics (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS