Early Detection of Chronic Kidney Disease in Men Using Lifestyle and Demographic Indicators: A Machine Learning Approach for Primary Healthcare Settings

<b>Background/Objective:</b> Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major global health concern associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare burden. This study aimed to develop an explainable machine learning framework that integrates lifestyle, sociodemographic, and biochemical factors for early CKD risk prediction among middle-aged men using public health survey data. <b>Methods</b>: Data from 968 male participants were preprocessed by removing missing values, deriving eGFR and ACR, and labeling CKD status. Five machine learning algorithms, (i.e., Random Forest, AdaBoost, Naïve Bayes, SVM, and XGBoost) were trained and evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Model interpretability was assessed using SHAP, LIME, Boruta, and Pearson's correlation analyses. <b>Results</b>: AdaBoost yielded the best performance (accuracy = 0.7258, F1 = 0.6457, recall = 0.6923), with robust generalization confirmed by the precision-recall curve (AP = 0.715). SHAP and LIME revealed that serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, urinary creatinine, and age were major predictors, whereas lifestyle and metabolic indicators such as BMI, sodium and sugar intake, and sleep duration emerged as secondary factors for CKD. <b>Conclusions</b>: This study demonstrates the effectiveness of an explainable machine learning model that integrates lifestyle, sociodemographic and biochemical data for early CKD prediction among middle-aged men. The AdaBoost-based framework shows strong potential for implementation as a clinical decision-support tool within EHR systems and may contribute to personalized and preventive interventions. It emphasizes the growing importance of modifiable behaviors in kidney disease development and supports future work involving multiple cohorts and temporal model expansion to improve risk stratification for individuals at risk of kidney disease.

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Publication Details

Journal
Healthcare
Published
2026-02-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14030405
Primary Topic
Chronic Kidney Disease and Diabetes
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Early Detection of Chronic Kidney Disease in Men Using Lifestyle and Demographic Indicators: A Machine Learning Approach for Primary Healthcare Settings

Jae‐Joong Kim, Zeeshan Abbas, Mc Neil Valencia
Healthcare
Chronic Kidney Disease and Diabetes
article

Early Detection of Chronic Kidney Disease in Men Using Lifestyle and Demographic Indicators: A Machine Learning Approach for Primary Healthcare Settings

Jae‐Joong Kim, Zeeshan Abbas, Mc Neil Valencia
article en

Abstract

<b>Background/Objective:</b> Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major global health concern associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare burden. This study aimed to develop an explainable machine learning framework that integrates lifestyle, sociodemographic, and biochemical factors for early CKD risk prediction among middle-aged men using public health survey data. <b>Methods</b>: Data from 968 male participants were preprocessed by removing missing values, deriving eGFR and ACR, and labeling CKD status. Five machine learning algorithms, (i.e., Random Forest, AdaBoost, Naïve Bayes, SVM, and XGBoost) were trained and evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Model interpretability was assessed using SHAP, LIME, Boruta, and Pearson's correlation analyses. <b>Results</b>: AdaBoost yielded the best performance (accuracy = 0.7258, F1 = 0.6457, recall = 0.6923), with robust generalization confirmed by the precision-recall curve (AP = 0.715). SHAP and LIME revealed that serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, urinary creatinine, and age were major predictors, whereas lifestyle and metabolic indicators such as BMI, sodium and sugar intake, and sleep duration emerged as secondary factors for CKD. <b>Conclusions</b>: This study demonstrates the effectiveness of an explainable machine learning model that integrates lifestyle, sociodemographic and biochemical data for early CKD prediction among middle-aged men. The AdaBoost-based framework shows strong potential for implementation as a clinical decision-support tool within EHR systems and may contribute to personalized and preventive interventions. It emphasizes the growing importance of modifiable behaviors in kidney disease development and supports future work involving multiple cohorts and temporal model expansion to improve risk stratification for individuals at risk of kidney disease.

HealthcareVol. 14(3)
Kangbuk Samsung Hospital (KR), Sungkyunkwan University (KR)
Sungkyunkwan University
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Chronic Kidney Disease and Diabetes
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