An Improved Carbon Dioxide Monitoring Method Related to China’s Carbon Emissions Trading System in Cement Plants

The cement industry will be officially regulated by China’s national carbon market. Authenticity and accuracy of emission data are prerequisites and the foundation for ensuring the healthy and stable operation of the market. At present, China’s carbon market mainly adopts the Calculation-Based Method (CBM) for data accounting. However, in the cement sector, this method faces challenges due to the inherent complexity of both raw materials and fuels, making it difficult to obtain accurate emission data through CBM alone. Therefore, regulatory authorities are promoting the installation and application of the Continuous Emission Monitoring System (CEMS) by enterprises. Pilot studies, however, have revealed considerable discrepancies between the data from the two methods. In this study, a combined data monitoring and accounting method was proposed, in which CBM and CEMS were combined to improve emission data quality. The actual operational and emission data from a case enterprise was taken as an example, and this study conducted systematic analysis and research on data collection and preprocessing, operating condition classification, correlation model construction, and abnormal data diagnosis. The results revealed that this combined method can effectively improve the degree of correlation between CBM and CEMS carbon emissions. Moreover, higher accuracy of abnormal data identification can be achieved through statistical testing. This combined monitoring method not only strengthens data tamper-resistance at the enterprise level but also has the potential to reduce regulatory oversight costs, thereby providing reliable technical support for emission data quality control.