Part A – Expected Free Energy as a Structural Architecture of Individual Choice

This paper develops Expected Free Energy (EFE) as a common structural architecture of individual choice. Rather than proposing EFE as a behavioural alternative to existing models, the analysis treats classical Expected Utility, Prospect Theory, Rational Inattention, and identity-based preferences as nested or limiting regimes within a single probabilistic decision functional. The core contribution is a set of representation and non-representability results. It is shown that, under entropy heterogeneity across admissible policies, EFE can induce policy orderings that no scalar Expected Utility functional, defined solely over outcome probabilities, can reproduce. This result is formalised as an existence theorem, with explicit assumptions and constructive examples. Conversely, conditions under which EFE collapses exactly to Expected Utility or Rational Inattention are derived, clarifying the precise boundaries of representational equivalence. The paper further addresses identification and falsifiability. A cross-fitting diagnostic pipeline is introduced that allows the full EFE architecture to be empirically rejected when its additional structure is not supported by the data-generating process. This establishes that EFE is not vacuously flexible, but subject to principled out-of-sample discipline. Overall, the paper positions Expected Free Energy not as a competing behavioural theory, but as a structural generalisation that can help to clarify when, why, and how standard models of individual choice succeed or fail.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-02-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18009668
Primary Topic
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Part A – Expected Free Energy as a Structural Architecture of Individual Choice

Marc D. Woodfield
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
article

Part A – Expected Free Energy as a Structural Architecture of Individual Choice

Marc D. Woodfield
article en

Abstract

This paper develops Expected Free Energy (EFE) as a common structural architecture of individual choice. Rather than proposing EFE as a behavioural alternative to existing models, the analysis treats classical Expected Utility, Prospect Theory, Rational Inattention, and identity-based preferences as nested or limiting regimes within a single probabilistic decision functional. The core contribution is a set of representation and non-representability results. It is shown that, under entropy heterogeneity across admissible policies, EFE can induce policy orderings that no scalar Expected Utility functional, defined solely over outcome probabilities, can reproduce. This result is formalised as an existence theorem, with explicit assumptions and constructive examples. Conversely, conditions under which EFE collapses exactly to Expected Utility or Rational Inattention are derived, clarifying the precise boundaries of representational equivalence. The paper further addresses identification and falsifiability. A cross-fitting diagnostic pipeline is introduced that allows the full EFE architecture to be empirically rejected when its additional structure is not supported by the data-generating process. This establishes that EFE is not vacuously flexible, but subject to principled out-of-sample discipline. Overall, the paper positions Expected Free Energy not as a competing behavioural theory, but as a structural generalisation that can help to clarify when, why, and how standard models of individual choice succeed or fail.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Part A – Expected Free Energy as a Structural Architecture of Individual Choice — Marc D. Woodfield · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS