Conceptual Architecture of a Trustworthy Wind and Photovoltaic Power Forecasting System: A Systematic Review and Design

Accurate and trustworthy forecasting of wind and photovoltaic power generation is essential for the reliable operation and planning of modern power systems. Although recent machine-learning-based forecasting solutions increasingly incorporate elements of trustworthy artificial intelligence, such as explainability, uncertainty quantification, robustness, drift monitoring, and machine learning operations, these components are typically introduced in a fragmented manner and remain weakly integrated at the architectural level, which limits their applicability in real operational environments. This paper presents a systematic review of 59 peer-reviewed journal articles published between 2019 and 2025, conducted in accordance with the PRISMA 2020 guidelines. The review includes studies focused on wind and photovoltaic power forecasting that report system architectures, frameworks, or end-to-end pipelines incorporating at least one trust-related attribute. The literature search was performed using Scopus, IEEE Xplore, MDPI, and ScienceDirect. Using a narrative and architectural synthesis, the review identifies six structural gaps hindering industrial deployment: the absence of semantic data models, shallow model-centric explainability, drift monitoring without governance mechanisms, lack of automated model lifecycle management, insufficient robustness to real-world data defects, and the absence of integrated end-to-end architectures. The evidence base is limited by the heterogeneity of architectural descriptions and the predominantly qualitative nature of reported implementations. Based on these findings, a high-level reference architecture for a trustworthy AI-based forecasting system is proposed. The architecture formalizes trustworthiness as a system-level property and integrates semantic, technological, and functional trust layers within a unified data and model lifecycle, supporting reproducible, interpretable, and operationally reliable forecasting for both wind and photovoltaic power plants.

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Publication Details

Journal
Inventions
Published
2026-02-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/inventions11010015
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Conceptual Architecture of a Trustworthy Wind and Photovoltaic Power Forecasting System: A Systematic Review and Design

Павел Матренин, Khalyasmaa A.I., Irina Iumanova
Inventions
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Conceptual Architecture of a Trustworthy Wind and Photovoltaic Power Forecasting System: A Systematic Review and Design

Павел Матренин, Khalyasmaa A.I., Irina Iumanova
article en

Abstract

Accurate and trustworthy forecasting of wind and photovoltaic power generation is essential for the reliable operation and planning of modern power systems. Although recent machine-learning-based forecasting solutions increasingly incorporate elements of trustworthy artificial intelligence, such as explainability, uncertainty quantification, robustness, drift monitoring, and machine learning operations, these components are typically introduced in a fragmented manner and remain weakly integrated at the architectural level, which limits their applicability in real operational environments. This paper presents a systematic review of 59 peer-reviewed journal articles published between 2019 and 2025, conducted in accordance with the PRISMA 2020 guidelines. The review includes studies focused on wind and photovoltaic power forecasting that report system architectures, frameworks, or end-to-end pipelines incorporating at least one trust-related attribute. The literature search was performed using Scopus, IEEE Xplore, MDPI, and ScienceDirect. Using a narrative and architectural synthesis, the review identifies six structural gaps hindering industrial deployment: the absence of semantic data models, shallow model-centric explainability, drift monitoring without governance mechanisms, lack of automated model lifecycle management, insufficient robustness to real-world data defects, and the absence of integrated end-to-end architectures. The evidence base is limited by the heterogeneity of architectural descriptions and the predominantly qualitative nature of reported implementations. Based on these findings, a high-level reference architecture for a trustworthy AI-based forecasting system is proposed. The architecture formalizes trustworthiness as a system-level property and integrates semantic, technological, and functional trust layers within a unified data and model lifecycle, supporting reproducible, interpretable, and operationally reliable forecasting for both wind and photovoltaic power plants.

InventionsVol. 11(1)
Ural Federal University (RU)
Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 66%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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