GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE ON EDUCATION AND HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

A Sub-Saharan Africa continues to face persistent challenges in translating government education spending into tangible improvements in human capital development. The central problem is the disconnect between rising allocations and stagnant outcomes, particularly in Nigeria, where education’s share of total government expenditure fell from 9.9 percent in 2014 to just 4.5 percent in 2024, far below UNESCO’s 15–20 percent benchmark. This study, titled Government Expenditure on Education and Human Capital Development in Sub-Saharan Africa, examines five countries, Nigeria, Kenya, Ghana, Ethiopia, and South Africa, using a trend analysis approach. Secondary data from World Bank, UNESCO, and national budget offices were compiled into six tables with corresponding charts covering expenditure patterns, enrollment rates, human capital index scores, and budget implementation outcomes. Results show that South Africa consistently outperformed peers, maintaining over 92 percent budget implementation and tertiary enrollment above 20 percent, while Ghana raised tertiary participation from 12.4 to 15.2 percent. In contrast, Nigeria recorded stagnant Human Capital Index scores (0.36-0.38) and secondary enrollment rates below 50 percent, reflecting inefficiencies in converting fiscal commitments into developmental impact. A critical finding is that recurrent expenditure accounted for over 80 percent of education budgets across all countries, leaving little for infrastructure and innovation. The study recommends that national governments raise allocations to at least 6 percent of GDP and 20 percent of annual budgets, with capital expenditure constituting no less than 30-40 percent. Strengthened budget execution, regional peer review mechanisms, and public–private partnerships are also vital for achieving SDG 4 and AU Agenda 2063 targets.