Deciphering exterior: building energy efficiency prediction with emerging urban big data

In the UK, 28 million households consume 25% of the total energy and contribute to 25% of the carbon emissions. It is vital to focus on sustainability and energy efficiency within the building sector for decarbonizing purposes. However, traditional methods such as simulations or on-site inspections are time-consuming and labor-intensive. In this research, we propose a novel methodology framework for estimating building energy efficiency using only external and widely existing data. We have designed and trained an end-to-end multi-channel deep learning model utilizing high-resolution thermal infrared and optical remotely sensed images, street view images, socio-economic indicators, and building morphological data. Validated in Glasgow and Edinburgh, the model achieved F1 scores of 0.64 and 0.69. Further analyses surprisingly suggest that more deprived neighborhoods tend to have better building energy efficiency. The study highlights how widely available data and AI can provide scalable, global solutions for advancing the net-zero agenda.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Urban Sustainability
Published
2026-02-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-026-00348-7
Primary Topic
Building Energy and Comfort Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Deciphering exterior: building energy efficiency prediction with emerging urban big data

Qiaosi Li, Ce Hou, Ronita Bardhan, Maoran Sun et al.
npj Urban Sustainability
Building Energy and Comfort Optimization
article

Deciphering exterior: building energy efficiency prediction with emerging urban big data

Qiaosi Li, Ce Hou, Ronita Bardhan, Maoran Sun, Qunshan Zhao, Fan Zhang
article en

Abstract

In the UK, 28 million households consume 25% of the total energy and contribute to 25% of the carbon emissions. It is vital to focus on sustainability and energy efficiency within the building sector for decarbonizing purposes. However, traditional methods such as simulations or on-site inspections are time-consuming and labor-intensive. In this research, we propose a novel methodology framework for estimating building energy efficiency using only external and widely existing data. We have designed and trained an end-to-end multi-channel deep learning model utilizing high-resolution thermal infrared and optical remotely sensed images, street view images, socio-economic indicators, and building morphological data. Validated in Glasgow and Edinburgh, the model achieved F1 scores of 0.64 and 0.69. Further analyses surprisingly suggest that more deprived neighborhoods tend to have better building energy efficiency. The study highlights how widely available data and AI can provide scalable, global solutions for advancing the net-zero agenda.

npj Urban SustainabilityVol. 6(1)
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HK), Peking University (CN), University of Cambridge (GB), Urban Big Data Centre (GB), University of Glasgow (GB)
European Space Agency, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Economic and Social Research Council
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 66%
Building Energy and Comfort Optimization
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