A flexible measure of voter polarization

This paper introduces a definition of ideological polarization that measures dispersion of voter ideology around any central point of interest to a researcher. Applying this framework to U.S. survey data reveals that polarization around right-of-center positions increased gradually, while polarization around left-of-center positions remained stable before rising sharply. I then show how this model of ideological polarization is linked to affective polarization and to increased salience of divisive issues. • The paper introduces a way of measuring polarization in a distribution. • The measure evaluates dispersion around any chosen central point. • The paper applies it to measuring evolution of electoral polarization in the US. • The measure is linked to affective polarization and to salience of divisive issues.

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Publication Details

Journal
Economics Letters
Published
2026-02-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2026.112834
Primary Topic
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A flexible measure of voter polarization

Boris Ginzburg
Economics Letters
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
article

A flexible measure of voter polarization

Boris Ginzburg
article en

Abstract

This paper introduces a definition of ideological polarization that measures dispersion of voter ideology around any central point of interest to a researcher. Applying this framework to U.S. survey data reveals that polarization around right-of-center positions increased gradually, while polarization around left-of-center positions remained stable before rising sharply. I then show how this model of ideological polarization is linked to affective polarization and to increased salience of divisive issues. • The paper introduces a way of measuring polarization in a distribution. • The measure evaluates dispersion around any chosen central point. • The paper applies it to measuring evolution of electoral polarization in the US. • The measure is linked to affective polarization and to salience of divisive issues.

Economics LettersVol. 261
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid (ES)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
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