Governing Low- and Zero-Emission Zones in the Global South: An ASIF-Based Framework for Rio de Janeiro

This study examines the role of Low and Zero Emission Zones (LEZ/ZEZ) as urban climate-governance instruments in Latin American cities, using Rio de Janeiro as a case study. The objective is to assess the feasibility and institutional readiness for implementing a LEZ/ZEZ in the city’s central area, taking into account its regulatory framework, urban context, and transport- and emissions-related conditions. The methodology adopts an exploratory, qualitative approach based on the ASIF (Activity-Structure-Intensity-Fuel) framework, combined with a systematic review of municipal legislation, climate action plans, emissions inventories, and international best practices. Rather than developing a mathematical or predictive model, the study organizes these policy and institutional elements into a structured decision-support framework and proposes a roadmap to guide phased implementation. The results show that Rio de Janeiro possesses a favorable legal and policy environment for LEZ/ZEZ deployment, particularly through its Climate Action Plan and the legally established District of Low Emissions, while also identifying constraints related to data availability, monitoring capacity, and inter-institutional coordination. The study concludes that the proposed framework provides a practical governance-oriented tool to support low-carbon urban transitions, whose operational effectiveness will depend on future quantitative data collection, transport-demand simulation, and stakeholder engagement to strengthen evidence-based decision-making.