Converging to mediocrity: Trends in firm-level markups in the United Kingdom 2008–2019

UK manufacturing productivity has declined sharply since 2008, yet little is known about the role of trends in firm-level markups in this context. We estimate firm-level markups using a structural demand approach with revenue shares and industry elasticities, which is complemented by a primal method. Findings indicate a decline in aggregate markups of two to five per cent from 2008 to 2019, driven mainly by within-firm declines. These results suggest that the UK’s productivity slowdown reflects structural deterioration within manufacturing firms rather than reallocation effects.

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Publication Details

Journal
Economics Letters
Published
2026-02-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2026.112851
Primary Topic
Firm Innovation and Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Converging to mediocrity: Trends in firm-level markups in the United Kingdom 2008–2019

Economics Letters
Firm Innovation and Growth
article

Converging to mediocrity: Trends in firm-level markups in the United Kingdom 2008–2019

article en

Abstract

UK manufacturing productivity has declined sharply since 2008, yet little is known about the role of trends in firm-level markups in this context. We estimate firm-level markups using a structural demand approach with revenue shares and industry elasticities, which is complemented by a primal method. Findings indicate a decline in aggregate markups of two to five per cent from 2008 to 2019, driven mainly by within-firm declines. These results suggest that the UK’s productivity slowdown reflects structural deterioration within manufacturing firms rather than reallocation effects.

Economics LettersVol. 261
Queen Mary University of London (GB), SKEMA Business School (FR), Ollscoil na Gaillimhe – University of Galway (IE), University of Cambridge (GB), London School of Business and Management (GB)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Firm Innovation and Growth
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Converging to mediocrity: Trends in firm-level markups in the United Kingdom 2008–2019 · Economics Letters (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS