A computational-analytic framework for assessing stationarity and ergodicity for a stochastic SIS epidemic model

This paper presents a stochastic $\mathcal{SIS}$ (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) epidemic model with generalized incidence function and two separate Brownian noise sources. Using analytical methods from stochastic calculus, we derive explicit threshold conditions governing disease extinction and endemic persistence. These theoretical results are validated through systematic numerical simulations, including phase-space trajectory analysis under varying epidemiological scenarios. A central contribution is the development of a novel computational-analytic framework to rigorously verify the model’s long-term statistical properties: (i) stationarity through distributional convergence tests, and (ii) ergodicity via empirical moment estimation. The combined analytical-numerical approach provides actionable insights for epidemic modeling while advancing methodology for stochastic dynamical systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
Published
2026-02-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-025-04053-0
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A computational-analytic framework for assessing stationarity and ergodicity for a stochastic SIS epidemic model

Lahcen Boulaasair, Brahim Benaid, Mhamed Eddahbi, Hassane Bouzahir
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

A computational-analytic framework for assessing stationarity and ergodicity for a stochastic SIS epidemic model

Lahcen Boulaasair, Brahim Benaid, Mhamed Eddahbi, Hassane Bouzahir
article en

Abstract

This paper presents a stochastic $\mathcal{SIS}$ (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) epidemic model with generalized incidence function and two separate Brownian noise sources. Using analytical methods from stochastic calculus, we derive explicit threshold conditions governing disease extinction and endemic persistence. These theoretical results are validated through systematic numerical simulations, including phase-space trajectory analysis under varying epidemiological scenarios. A central contribution is the development of a novel computational-analytic framework to rigorously verify the model’s long-term statistical properties: (i) stationarity through distributional convergence tests, and (ii) ergodicity via empirical moment estimation. The combined analytical-numerical approach provides actionable insights for epidemic modeling while advancing methodology for stochastic dynamical systems.

Advances in Continuous and Discrete ModelsVol. 2026(1)
King Saud University (SA), Université Ibn Zohr (MA), Sultan Qaboos University (OM)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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