Reimagining kidney value-based care: leveraging data science for dynamic, clinician-level risk prediction

CKD is a clinically and economically compelling testbed for next-generation VBP design. Patient-level modeling with sub-annual risk prediction is the next step in modernizing payment frameworks to align incentives. Future VBP policy should shift models beyond static, annual metrics toward EHR-native, temporally precise evaluation frameworks that reward meaningful preventive care for patients, clinicians, and payers.