Application of Machine Learning Methods for Predicting the Factor of Safety in Rock Slopes

Factor of Safety (FOS) is a significant index to measure the stability condition of a rock slope in mining or civil engineering. In this paper, we evaluate and compare four different machine learning models, Gaussian Process Regressor (GPR), Support Vector Regressor (SVR), Random Forest (RF), and a hybrid genetic algorithm–multi-layer perceptron (GA-MLP), using two separate real-world datasets. The two separate datasets used in this study are from a previously conducted study on highway excavation with rock cutting in China, and another one in a mining site in Peru, with five geotechnical properties used as inputs, including slope height, slope angle, unit weight, cohesion, and friction angle. The two separate datasets were separated into training, validation, and testing datasets. The testing dataset of the models is unseen data used to assess model performance in an unbiased manner. The result shows that the SVR had the highest prediction accuracy, followed by GPR for the mining dataset, and GPR had the highest performance among all the models for the highway excavation dataset. From the boxplot, we can see that SVR, while having the highest predictive accuracy, has a larger variance in prediction compared to GPR for the mining dataset.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geotechnics
Published
2026-02-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/geotechnics6010015
Primary Topic
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Application of Machine Learning Methods for Predicting the Factor of Safety in Rock Slopes

Moe Momayez, Miguel Trinidad
Geotechnics
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
article

Application of Machine Learning Methods for Predicting the Factor of Safety in Rock Slopes

Moe Momayez, Miguel Trinidad
article en

Abstract

Factor of Safety (FOS) is a significant index to measure the stability condition of a rock slope in mining or civil engineering. In this paper, we evaluate and compare four different machine learning models, Gaussian Process Regressor (GPR), Support Vector Regressor (SVR), Random Forest (RF), and a hybrid genetic algorithm–multi-layer perceptron (GA-MLP), using two separate real-world datasets. The two separate datasets used in this study are from a previously conducted study on highway excavation with rock cutting in China, and another one in a mining site in Peru, with five geotechnical properties used as inputs, including slope height, slope angle, unit weight, cohesion, and friction angle. The two separate datasets were separated into training, validation, and testing datasets. The testing dataset of the models is unseen data used to assess model performance in an unbiased manner. The result shows that the SVR had the highest prediction accuracy, followed by GPR for the mining dataset, and GPR had the highest performance among all the models for the highway excavation dataset. From the boxplot, we can see that SVR, while having the highest predictive accuracy, has a larger variance in prediction compared to GPR for the mining dataset.

GeotechnicsVol. 6(1)
Mineral Resources (AU)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 75%
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
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