Repeated pattern of

Context. It has been demonstrated that at least 10% of the brightest blazars in the fourth Fermi-LAT catalog of γ-ray sources exhibit repeating patterns of γ-ray flares. These events may be associated with the presence of a non-uniform sheath surrounding a fast jet spine in some blazars. Theoretical models suggest that such a sheath could facilitate neutrino production in these structured jets. Aims. We aim to test the marginal statistical evidence previously reported for a connection between repeating patterns of γ-ray flares in blazars and high-energy neutrino events that are positionally consistent with these sources. Methods. We identified a repeating pattern of flares in the γ-ray light curve of the blazar PKS 1502+106, which lies within the 50% uncertainty region of the IC190730A neutrino candidate event. This occurrence is combined with two other high-energy (≥200 TeV) neutrino events from ICECAT-1, which arrived in both positional and temporal coincidence with two blazars exhibiting ongoing repeating flare patterns. We conducted a Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate the likelihood of accidental coincidences between the repeating flare patterns and neutrino events, accounting for potential unrecognized systematic uncertainties in the arrival directions of the ICECAT-1 events. Results. Our findings indicate the probability of a random coincidence, in both time and arrival direction for three high-energy neutrino candidates and three blazars with ongoing recurring patterns of γ-ray flares, is 1.56 × 10−3 (3.2σ).

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Publication Details

Journal
Springer Link (Chiba Institute of Technology)
Published
2025-02-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202453361/pdf
Primary Topic
Astrophysics and Cosmic Phenomena
Type
article
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article

Repeated pattern of

Polina Novikova, Dmitry Blinov
Springer Link (Chiba Institute of Technology)
Astrophysics and Cosmic Phenomena
article

Repeated pattern of

Polina Novikova, Dmitry Blinov
article en

Abstract

Context. It has been demonstrated that at least 10% of the brightest blazars in the fourth Fermi-LAT catalog of γ-ray sources exhibit repeating patterns of γ-ray flares. These events may be associated with the presence of a non-uniform sheath surrounding a fast jet spine in some blazars. Theoretical models suggest that such a sheath could facilitate neutrino production in these structured jets. Aims. We aim to test the marginal statistical evidence previously reported for a connection between repeating patterns of γ-ray flares in blazars and high-energy neutrino events that are positionally consistent with these sources. Methods. We identified a repeating pattern of flares in the γ-ray light curve of the blazar PKS 1502+106, which lies within the 50% uncertainty region of the IC190730A neutrino candidate event. This occurrence is combined with two other high-energy (≥200 TeV) neutrino events from ICECAT-1, which arrived in both positional and temporal coincidence with two blazars exhibiting ongoing repeating flare patterns. We conducted a Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate the likelihood of accidental coincidences between the repeating flare patterns and neutrino events, accounting for potential unrecognized systematic uncertainties in the arrival directions of the ICECAT-1 events. Results. Our findings indicate the probability of a random coincidence, in both time and arrival direction for three high-energy neutrino candidates and three blazars with ongoing recurring patterns of γ-ray flares, is 1.56 × 10−3 (3.2σ).

Springer Link (Chiba Institute of Technology)
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