Modeling Zero-Dose Children in Ethiopia: A Machine Learning Perspective on Model Performance and Predictor Variables

The developed ML models effectively predict children at risk of being ZD, with the LGBM model showing the best performance. This model can guide targeted interventions to reduce ZD prevalence and address vaccination inequities. Key predictors include access to immunization sites, maternal health service utilization, and perceptions of immunization benefits. By focusing on these vulnerable groups, public health efforts can tackle disparities in vaccination coverage. Enhancing maternal care, raising caregiver awareness, and improving immunization access through outreach can significantly reduce the number of ZD children.

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Publication Details

Journal
JMIR Pediatrics and Parenting
Published
2026-02-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2196/76712
Primary Topic
Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Modeling Zero-Dose Children in Ethiopia: A Machine Learning Perspective on Model Performance and Predictor Variables

Monika Knudsen Gullslett, Shegaw Anagaw Mengiste, Kassahun Alemu, Meseret Zelalem et al.
JMIR Pediatrics and Parenting
Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
article

Modeling Zero-Dose Children in Ethiopia: A Machine Learning Perspective on Model Performance and Predictor Variables

Monika Knudsen Gullslett, Shegaw Anagaw Mengiste, Kassahun Alemu, Meseret Zelalem, Berhanu Fikadie Endehabtu, Binyam Tilahun
article en

Abstract

The developed ML models effectively predict children at risk of being ZD, with the LGBM model showing the best performance. This model can guide targeted interventions to reduce ZD prevalence and address vaccination inequities. Key predictors include access to immunization sites, maternal health service utilization, and perceptions of immunization benefits. By focusing on these vulnerable groups, public health efforts can tackle disparities in vaccination coverage. Enhancing maternal care, raising caregiver awareness, and improving immunization access through outreach can significantly reduce the number of ZD children.

JMIR Pediatrics and ParentingVol. 9
University Hospital of North Norway (NO), University of South-Eastern Norway (NO), University of Gondar (ET)
No poverty
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
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