How monetary policy and institutions shape R&D: a dynamic general equilibrium approach

This paper examines how monetary policy and institutional quality jointly affect innovation and long-term economic growth. We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model in which firms allocate resources to R&D, influenced by interest rates, inflation, and institutional efficiency. The model shows that lower interest rates and stable prices encourage R&D by improving liquidity and reducing financing costs, but their impact is significantly enhanced when institutions are strong and governance is effective. Numerical simulations reveal that weak institutions and inflationary environments hinder R&D and growth, while sound monetary policy and institutional reforms reinforce each other. By highlighting these interactions, the paper offers practical insights for policymakers seeking to promote sustainable, innovation-led development. Our findings emphasize the importance of aligning monetary tools with institutional improvements to maximize long-term growth outcomes.

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Publication Details

Journal
Economic Change and Restructuring
Published
2026-02-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-026-09965-9
Primary Topic
Economic Growth and Productivity
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

How monetary policy and institutions shape R&D: a dynamic general equilibrium approach

Óscar Afonso
Economic Change and Restructuring
Economic Growth and Productivity
article

How monetary policy and institutions shape R&D: a dynamic general equilibrium approach

Óscar Afonso
article en

Abstract

This paper examines how monetary policy and institutional quality jointly affect innovation and long-term economic growth. We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model in which firms allocate resources to R&D, influenced by interest rates, inflation, and institutional efficiency. The model shows that lower interest rates and stable prices encourage R&D by improving liquidity and reducing financing costs, but their impact is significantly enhanced when institutions are strong and governance is effective. Numerical simulations reveal that weak institutions and inflationary environments hinder R&D and growth, while sound monetary policy and institutional reforms reinforce each other. By highlighting these interactions, the paper offers practical insights for policymakers seeking to promote sustainable, innovation-led development. Our findings emphasize the importance of aligning monetary tools with institutional improvements to maximize long-term growth outcomes.

Economic Change and RestructuringVol. 59(1)
Universidade do Porto (PT)
Princeton University, Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 75%
Economic Growth and Productivity
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