Leveraging Sentinel-2 Temporal Resolution for Accurate Identification of Crops in Highly Fragmented Agricultural Landscapes

Identifying crops at the plot level is essential for developing effective agricultural management policies across diverse scales. The agricultural landscape of the Comunitat Valenciana (CV) region in Spain is characterized by a high density of small plots and a wide variety of crops, ranging from rice fields to vine and tree orchards, the latter being the predominant type. This fragmentation poses challenges for current crop monitoring using satellite imagery provided by the Sentinel-2 (S2) mission, largely because its relatively low spatial resolution results in pixels overlapping field boundaries. However, this study proposes a methodological approach that exploits the high temporal resolution of S2 to help overcome these limitations and automatically classify the six most representative crop types in this fragmented landscape. The study analyzed temporal variations in the correlation structure of common spectral indices over the year, leading to the selection of the Normalized Difference Moisture Index (NDMI), Normalized difference Red Edge Index (NDRE), and Plant Senescence Reflectance Index (PSRI) for complementary information. Fourier coefficients of a year time series of these indices served as inputs for a random forest classifier. Relative importance of indices for the classification was also assessed. Additionally, a new metric for classification confidence at plot level is introduced. This metric enables strategies to balance between classification precision and the proportion of classified plots. The model achieved an overall accuracy of 86.85% and a kappa index of 0.82 without considering classification confidence levels. Applying a 70% confidence threshold increased overall accuracy to 93.44% and the kappa index to 0.91 at a cost of 16.19% of plots unclassified.