Splicing neoepitope prediction is sensitive to methodological differences

Motivation Cancer-specific neoepitopes may arise from abnormal splicing in the transcriptomic landscape (alternative splicing neoepitopes, ASNs), leading to divergent proteins with high potential immunogenicity. Predicting candidate ASNs requires a series of algorithmic and parameter choices, but no previous study has investigated the consistency and interpretability of these choices. Results We apply two ASN prediction methods with 35 matched parameter sets to generate candidate ASNs for five breast and ovarian cancer samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). We find that: 1) junction 9-mer peptides generated by two similarly designed pipelines differed by, on average, 68.9% and 76.6% in the BRCA and OV cohorts, respectively, and putatively cancer-specific junction 9-mers from the two pipelines diverged further, by an average of 81.5 % in OV and 84.6 % in BRCA; 2) the most lenient filters in the BRCA cohort show the highest divergence, at 97 %; 3) the rate of mass spectrometry validation of ASNs’ protein presence in cells is dominated by the size of the input space; and 4) putatively cancer-specific ASNs found by the intersection of both pipelines can be validated when accounting for false discovery with an average of 1.74 and 284.4 candidates in the BRCA and OV cohorts, respectively. Taken together, these results highlight that ASN identification is fragile and difficult to reproduce across analysis platforms, with limited cross-pipeline overlap and strong dependence on parameter choices.