Statistical analysis of winning percentages in Japanese professional baseball using the Wins above Replacement indicator

This study examines a previously unexplored concept in the field of sabermetrics. By employing a novel correction that accounts for player position differences, it investigates the impact of the designated hitter (DH) system on team wins in Japanese professional baseball using the Wins above Replacement metric. We applied this innovative correction to Pacific League data from 2014 to 2023, accounting for positional differences in player contributions. Our results indicate no significant difference in the correlation coefficients between team average wins above replacement (WAR) and winning percentage under conditions including and excluding the DH position, suggesting that the DH system does not substantially impact team performance. These findings offer a nuanced understanding of the DH system's role in baseball strategy and team dynamics.

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Publication Details

Journal
PLoS ONE
Published
2026-01-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0336297
Primary Topic
Sports Analytics and Performance
Type
article
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article

Statistical analysis of winning percentages in Japanese professional baseball using the Wins above Replacement indicator

Shino Shimizu
PLoS ONE
Sports Analytics and Performance
article

Statistical analysis of winning percentages in Japanese professional baseball using the Wins above Replacement indicator

Shino Shimizu
article en

Abstract

This study examines a previously unexplored concept in the field of sabermetrics. By employing a novel correction that accounts for player position differences, it investigates the impact of the designated hitter (DH) system on team wins in Japanese professional baseball using the Wins above Replacement metric. We applied this innovative correction to Pacific League data from 2014 to 2023, accounting for positional differences in player contributions. Our results indicate no significant difference in the correlation coefficients between team average wins above replacement (WAR) and winning percentage under conditions including and excluding the DH position, suggesting that the DH system does not substantially impact team performance. These findings offer a nuanced understanding of the DH system's role in baseball strategy and team dynamics.

PLoS ONEVol. 21(1)
Nagoya University (JP)
Openalex Percentile: Top 77%
Sports Analytics and Performance
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