Antibiotic Consumption and Gram-Negative Resistance Dynamics in the ICU: A Five-Year Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Analysis

The study demonstrates a significant temporal association between the volume of broad-spectrum antibiotic consumption and the escalation of AMR. The high selective pressure in ICUs identifies these units as primary reservoirs for multidrug-resistant pathogens. These findings highlight the importance of multidisciplinary antimicrobial stewardship programs and restricted use of reserve antibiotics to preserve therapeutic efficacy.

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Publication Details

Journal
Cureus
Published
2026-01-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.7759/cureus.102615
Primary Topic
Antibiotic Use and Resistance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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Antibiotic Consumption and Gram-Negative Resistance Dynamics in the ICU: A Five-Year Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Analysis

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Antibiotic Consumption and Gram-Negative Resistance Dynamics in the ICU: A Five-Year Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Analysis

Nijaz Tihić, Mirela Bašić Denjagić, Minela Bećirović, Lejla Rakovac Tupković, Jasmina Smajic, Emir Becirovic, Predrag Jovanovic, Hedim Osmanovic
article en

Abstract

The study demonstrates a significant temporal association between the volume of broad-spectrum antibiotic consumption and the escalation of AMR. The high selective pressure in ICUs identifies these units as primary reservoirs for multidrug-resistant pathogens. These findings highlight the importance of multidisciplinary antimicrobial stewardship programs and restricted use of reserve antibiotics to preserve therapeutic efficacy.

CureusVol. 18(1)
University of Tuzla (BA), University Clinical Center Tuzla (BA)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Antibiotic Use and Resistance
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