FloodUnet: A Rapid Spatio‐Temporal Prediction Model for Flood Evolution Based on an Enhanced U‐Net

Abstract Flooding causes significant loss of life and economic damage and affects healthy development of society. Deep learning (DL) models demonstrate significant advantages in improving computational efficiency while maintaining accuracy. Existing research of predicting dynamic flood evolution still remains some gaps for predicting flooding maps from the initial time step, weak transferability for flood scenarios from unseen breaches, and potential enhancement of common neural network frameworks. This paper proposes a DL model called FloodUnet based on an improved U‐Net architecture to achieve rapid and accurate prediction of flood evolution. FloodUnet can predict a series of flooding depth maps and maintain high‐precision prediction. It achieves an average root mean square error of 0.2 m and an average Nash‐Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficient of 0.9 on testing sets of unseen breaches and inflows through a 4‐fold cross validation. It is three orders of magnitude faster than the hydrodynamic model with a 24‐hr lead time. It has obvious advantage in prediction accuracy compared to ordinary convolutional neural network and U‐Net. Residual module and channel attention mechanism can enhance feature representation for complex flood dynamics and ensures stability during multi‐step rolling prediction.

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Publication Details

Journal
Water Resources Research
Published
2026-01-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr041427
Primary Topic
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

FloodUnet: A Rapid Spatio‐Temporal Prediction Model for Flood Evolution Based on an Enhanced U‐Net

Hua Chai, Z. Zhang, J. Tian, T. Chen et al.
Water Resources Research
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
article

FloodUnet: A Rapid Spatio‐Temporal Prediction Model for Flood Evolution Based on an Enhanced U‐Net

Hua Chai, Z. Zhang, J. Tian, T. Chen, J. Sun, X. Fu, B. Lin
article en

Abstract

Abstract Flooding causes significant loss of life and economic damage and affects healthy development of society. Deep learning (DL) models demonstrate significant advantages in improving computational efficiency while maintaining accuracy. Existing research of predicting dynamic flood evolution still remains some gaps for predicting flooding maps from the initial time step, weak transferability for flood scenarios from unseen breaches, and potential enhancement of common neural network frameworks. This paper proposes a DL model called FloodUnet based on an improved U‐Net architecture to achieve rapid and accurate prediction of flood evolution. FloodUnet can predict a series of flooding depth maps and maintain high‐precision prediction. It achieves an average root mean square error of 0.2 m and an average Nash‐Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficient of 0.9 on testing sets of unseen breaches and inflows through a 4‐fold cross validation. It is three orders of magnitude faster than the hydrodynamic model with a 24‐hr lead time. It has obvious advantage in prediction accuracy compared to ordinary convolutional neural network and U‐Net. Residual module and channel attention mechanism can enhance feature representation for complex flood dynamics and ensures stability during multi‐step rolling prediction.

Water Resources ResearchVol. 62(2)
Ministry of Water Resources of the People's Republic of China (CN), Tsinghua University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, State Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering
Openalex Percentile: Top 81%
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
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