Unveiling productivity and markup bias: the role of price heterogeneity

Estimates of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and markups are often biased due to unobserved price heterogeneity across firms. This working paper adopts a structural approach to adjust for this bias. Using firm-level data from Chinese manufacturing firms for the period 1998–2007, we use a structural approach to the revenue function, incorporating firm-level input and output prices to disentangle TFP and markups from price variations. Using these estimates as a comparison, we find that omitting firm-level prices in the conventional approach significantly underestimates both the level and growth of aggregate TFP. Similarly, markup levels are substantially underestimated when firm-level price heterogeneity is omitted although markup growth is lower. These findings highlight the necessity of carefully taking into account the often-unobserved firm level price heterogeneity in order to interpret productivity and markup results meaningfully.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Apollo (University of Cambridge)
Published
2025-03-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.17863/cam.126190
Primary Topic
Firm Innovation and Growth
Type
article
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article

Unveiling productivity and markup bias: the role of price heterogeneity

Dr Jen-Chung Mei, Ioannis Bournakis, Diane Coyle
Apollo (University of Cambridge)
Firm Innovation and Growth
article

Unveiling productivity and markup bias: the role of price heterogeneity

Dr Jen-Chung Mei, Ioannis Bournakis, Diane Coyle
article en

Abstract

Estimates of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and markups are often biased due to unobserved price heterogeneity across firms. This working paper adopts a structural approach to adjust for this bias. Using firm-level data from Chinese manufacturing firms for the period 1998–2007, we use a structural approach to the revenue function, incorporating firm-level input and output prices to disentangle TFP and markups from price variations. Using these estimates as a comparison, we find that omitting firm-level prices in the conventional approach significantly underestimates both the level and growth of aggregate TFP. Similarly, markup levels are substantially underestimated when firm-level price heterogeneity is omitted although markup growth is lower. These findings highlight the necessity of carefully taking into account the often-unobserved firm level price heterogeneity in order to interpret productivity and markup results meaningfully.

Apollo (University of Cambridge)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Firm Innovation and Growth
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