6G conditioned spatiotemporal graph neural networks for real time traffic flow prediction

Accurate, low-latency traffic forecasting is a cornerstone capability for next-generation Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). This paper investigates how emerging 6G-era network context specifically per node slice-bandwidth and channel-quality indicators can be fused with spatio-temporal graph models to improve short-term freeway speed prediction while respecting strict real-time constraints. Building on the METR-LA benchmark, we construct a reproducible pipeline that (i) cleans and temporally imputes loop-detector speeds, (ii) constructs a sparse Gaussian-kernel sensor graph, and (iii) synthesizes realistic per-sensor 6G signals aligned with the traffic time series. We implement and compare four model families: Spatio-Temporal GCN (ST-GCN), Graph Attention ST-GAT, Diffusion Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (DCRNN), and a novel 6G-conditioned DCRNN (DCRNN6G) that adaptively weights diffusion by slice-bandwidth. Our evaluation systematically explores four feature regimes (speeds only; channel quality only; slice bandwidth only; both features), and includes hyperparameter sweeps, ablation studies, and latency profiling on commodity CPUs to reflect edge deployment realities. Empirical results reveal three central findings. First, diffusion-recurrent modeling (DCRNN) produces the best accuracy latency trade-off for large-scale freeway forecasting: it attains test RMSE [Formula: see text] with average inference latency [Formula: see text] ms, comfortably meeting real-time requirements. Second, naïve incorporation of simulated 6G metrics provides only marginal RMSE gains for ST-GCN/ST-GAT and does not improve DCRNN when conditioned simply on bandwidth or CQI; in many cases, small accuracy gains are offset by notable latency penalties. Third, error diagnostics (sensor-wise RMSE, MAE heatmaps, error histograms) expose a small subset of spatially localized hard sensors and episodic time windows that dominate tail errors, indicating where targeted modules (anomaly detectors, incident-aware submodels) could yield outsized improvements. The main contributions of this work are: (1) the first end-to-end benchmarking of 6G-conditioned spatio-temporal GNNs on METR-LA with real-time latency analysis; (2) the introduction and empirical evaluation of a bandwidth conditional diffusion cell (DCRNN6G); and (3) extensive ablation, hyperparameter, and diagnostic studies that quantify both the potential and limitations of network aware fusion for ITS. We conclude by outlining concrete research directions, heterogeneous cross-graph fusion, dynamic adjacency learning, probabilistic forecasting, and real 5G/6G testbed validation that will be critical to realize truly co-optimized transportation and communication systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-01-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-32795-0
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

6G conditioned spatiotemporal graph neural networks for real time traffic flow prediction

Ankur Pandey, Praveen Kumar Mannepalli, Shishir Singh Chauhan, Yogesh Kumar Jain
Scientific Reports
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

6G conditioned spatiotemporal graph neural networks for real time traffic flow prediction

Ankur Pandey, Praveen Kumar Mannepalli, Shishir Singh Chauhan, Yogesh Kumar Jain
article en

Abstract

Accurate, low-latency traffic forecasting is a cornerstone capability for next-generation Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). This paper investigates how emerging 6G-era network context specifically per node slice-bandwidth and channel-quality indicators can be fused with spatio-temporal graph models to improve short-term freeway speed prediction while respecting strict real-time constraints. Building on the METR-LA benchmark, we construct a reproducible pipeline that (i) cleans and temporally imputes loop-detector speeds, (ii) constructs a sparse Gaussian-kernel sensor graph, and (iii) synthesizes realistic per-sensor 6G signals aligned with the traffic time series. We implement and compare four model families: Spatio-Temporal GCN (ST-GCN), Graph Attention ST-GAT, Diffusion Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (DCRNN), and a novel 6G-conditioned DCRNN (DCRNN6G) that adaptively weights diffusion by slice-bandwidth. Our evaluation systematically explores four feature regimes (speeds only; channel quality only; slice bandwidth only; both features), and includes hyperparameter sweeps, ablation studies, and latency profiling on commodity CPUs to reflect edge deployment realities. Empirical results reveal three central findings. First, diffusion-recurrent modeling (DCRNN) produces the best accuracy latency trade-off for large-scale freeway forecasting: it attains test RMSE [Formula: see text] with average inference latency [Formula: see text] ms, comfortably meeting real-time requirements. Second, naïve incorporation of simulated 6G metrics provides only marginal RMSE gains for ST-GCN/ST-GAT and does not improve DCRNN when conditioned simply on bandwidth or CQI; in many cases, small accuracy gains are offset by notable latency penalties. Third, error diagnostics (sensor-wise RMSE, MAE heatmaps, error histograms) expose a small subset of spatially localized hard sensors and episodic time windows that dominate tail errors, indicating where targeted modules (anomaly detectors, incident-aware submodels) could yield outsized improvements. The main contributions of this work are: (1) the first end-to-end benchmarking of 6G-conditioned spatio-temporal GNNs on METR-LA with real-time latency analysis; (2) the introduction and empirical evaluation of a bandwidth conditional diffusion cell (DCRNN6G); and (3) extensive ablation, hyperparameter, and diagnostic studies that quantify both the potential and limitations of network aware fusion for ITS. We conclude by outlining concrete research directions, heterogeneous cross-graph fusion, dynamic adjacency learning, probabilistic forecasting, and real 5G/6G testbed validation that will be critical to realize truly co-optimized transportation and communication systems.

Scientific ReportsVol. 16(1)
Chandigarh University (IN), Noida International University (IN), Seva Mandir (IN), Manipal University Jaipur
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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