Forecasting multidrug-resistant organisms infection trends in a Chinese tertiary hospital (2014–2024): a comparative study of SARIMA, ETS, Prophet, and NNETAR models
Based on its overall robustness and diagnostic consistency, SARIMA is recommended for short- to medium-term forecasting of MDROs infection trends. The other models, while less reliable on their own, may still be valuable for validating trends and conducting sensitivity analyses to support hospital infection control planning.
Authors
- LuoJing Zhou
Institutions
- Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital (CN)
- Yangzhou University (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Frontiers in Public Health
- Published
- 2026-01-29
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1687658
- Primary Topic
- Antibiotic Use and Resistance
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00