A Five-Year Field Investigation of Conservation Tillage on Soil Hydrothermal Regimes and Crop Yield Stability in Semi-Arid Agroecosystems

The sustainable management of Northern China’s vulnerable agro-pastoral ecotone requires a clearer understanding of how tillage systems affect crop productivity through local soil-climate interactions. Therefore, this study was conducted to quantify and compare the long term effects of different tillage practices on soil hydrothermal regimes, resource use efficiency, and maize yield stability in a semi-arid agroecosystem. A long term five-year field experiment with maize was conducted in this ecotone to assess three tillage methods: no tillage (NT), deep ploughing (DP), and conventional rotary tillage (RT). Seasonal monitoring included soil moisture, temperature, bulk density, and straw cover. Analyses focused on soil water use efficiency (WUE), the production efficiency per soil thermal unit (PEsoil), and pathways affecting theoretical calculated yield. Results show that relative to RT and DP, NT consistently elevated soil water content within the 0–30 cm profile during the growing season, with the most marked increases from pre-sowing to the V12 stage. This water-conserving effect was stronger in wet years, highlighting the role of precipitation in NT’s performance. DP also retained more soil water than RT, particularly in deeper layers, though its effect was less pronounced than NT’s. Regarding temperature, NT lowered the daily mean soil temperature and accumulated growing degree days (GDD) in early growth phases, a result of residue cover buffering thermal changes. Despite reduced heat accumulation, NT achieved the greatest efficiencies for both heat and water use (PEsoil and WUE), showing increases of 62.03% and 16.64% over RT, respectively, without yield penalty. Key mechanisms include permanent straw mulch under NT, which curtails evaporation, promotes water infiltration, and stabilizes soil structure, thereby modulating hydrothermal dynamics. Structural equation modeling indicated that soil water content, ear number per hectare, and hundred-kernel weight directly and positively determined final yield. Tillage methods exerted indirect effects on yield by modifying soil physical traits and microclimatic conditions. In this semi-arid setting, both NT and DP outperformed RT in conserving soil water, moderating soil temperature, and boosting resource use efficiency. These practices present viable strategies for strengthening crop resilience and sustaining productivity amid climatic variability.