The measurement of uncertainty in science communication: A scoping review

This scoping review examines how uncertainty has been measured in science communication research, analyzing 58 studies published between 1976 and 2024. The review identified 68 uncertainty measures, categorized into three main types: (1) trait uncertainty, (2) state uncertainty, and (3) uncertainty discrepancy. While most measures demonstrated good internal reliability, evidence for the validity of scales was limited, particularly for newly developed scales. The analysis reveals significant fragmentation in measurement approaches and a concerning reliance on single-item and unidimensional measures given the complexity of the construct. Science communication research would benefit from more rigorous scale development, standardized measurement approaches, and cross-cultural validation of uncertainty scales.

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Publication Details

Journal
Public Understanding of Science
Published
2026-01-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/09636625251412716
Primary Topic
Climate Change Communication and Perception
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

The measurement of uncertainty in science communication: A scoping review

Yi Liao
Public Understanding of Science
Climate Change Communication and Perception
article

The measurement of uncertainty in science communication: A scoping review

Yi Liao
article en

Abstract

This scoping review examines how uncertainty has been measured in science communication research, analyzing 58 studies published between 1976 and 2024. The review identified 68 uncertainty measures, categorized into three main types: (1) trait uncertainty, (2) state uncertainty, and (3) uncertainty discrepancy. While most measures demonstrated good internal reliability, evidence for the validity of scales was limited, particularly for newly developed scales. The analysis reveals significant fragmentation in measurement approaches and a concerning reliance on single-item and unidimensional measures given the complexity of the construct. Science communication research would benefit from more rigorous scale development, standardized measurement approaches, and cross-cultural validation of uncertainty scales.

Public Understanding of Science
University of Utah (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 80%
Climate Change Communication and Perception
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