Analyzing the complexities of export: a heterogeneous analysis of BRICS economies and product types

Abstract This study examines the determinants of export sophistication across BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) from 2000 to 2022. It focuses on the heterogeneous effects of macroeconomic variables economic growth (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI), human capital, and research and development (R&D) as well as the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on export sophistication. The study employs the cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) approach, which effectively captures cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity, improving upon traditional panel estimation techniques. The empirical findings indicate that GDP growth, FDI inflows, human capital, and R&D expenditures positively influence export sophistication in BRICS economies, while the COVID-19 pandemic exerts a negative effect. These insights offer important policy implications for enhancing export quality and economic resilience in emerging markets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Future Business Journal
Published
2026-01-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-026-00742-8
Primary Topic
Economic and Technological Innovation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Analyzing the complexities of export: a heterogeneous analysis of BRICS economies and product types

Kafeel Kafeel, Jana Hroncová Vicianová, Sher Khan, Martin Hronec et al.
Future Business Journal
Economic and Technological Innovation
article

Analyzing the complexities of export: a heterogeneous analysis of BRICS economies and product types

Kafeel Kafeel, Jana Hroncová Vicianová, Sher Khan, Martin Hronec, Marian Suplata
article en

Abstract

Abstract This study examines the determinants of export sophistication across BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) from 2000 to 2022. It focuses on the heterogeneous effects of macroeconomic variables economic growth (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI), human capital, and research and development (R&D) as well as the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on export sophistication. The study employs the cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) approach, which effectively captures cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity, improving upon traditional panel estimation techniques. The empirical findings indicate that GDP growth, FDI inflows, human capital, and R&D expenditures positively influence export sophistication in BRICS economies, while the COVID-19 pandemic exerts a negative effect. These insights offer important policy implications for enhancing export quality and economic resilience in emerging markets.

Future Business JournalVol. 12(1)
Xiangtan University (CN), Matej Bel University (SK), Comenius University Bratislava (SK)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 81%
Economic and Technological Innovation
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Analyzing the complexities of export: a heterogeneous analysis of BRICS economies and product types — Kafeel Kafeel, Jana Hroncová Vicianová, et al. · Future Business Journal (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS