Comparability and Global-Closure Stress Tests in Contemporary Cosmology: A Diagnostic Perspective on Persistent Tensions

Modern cosmology combines heterogeneous observational probes that span different physical regimes, redshift ranges, and inference pipelines. While this integration has enabled remarkable precision, it has also revealed persistent tensions among independent observables, most notably in late-time expansion and structure growth parameters. This technical note presents a set of comparability and global-closure stress tests designed to assess the ability of standard cosmological models and conservative extensions to coherently account for multiple observational channels simultaneously. Rather than proposing new physical components or model modifications, the analysis adopts a diagnostic perspective, focusing on how enforced agreement within selected subsets of observables affects consistency across others. Geometric probes (CMB, BAO, supernovae), growth-related probes (large-scale structure, fσ₈), and integrated probes (gravitational lensing) are examined in terms of their mutual comparability and contribution to global closure. The results show that apparent resolutions of individual discrepancies typically correspond to a redistribution of residual mismatches, rather than a simultaneous improvement across independent observational channels. These findings suggest that persistent cosmological tensions may reflect structural limits in achieving global closure across heterogeneous datasets, highlighting the importance of explicitly testing comparability assumptions alongside continued model and data refinement.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-01-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18377353
Primary Topic
Galaxies: Formation, Evolution, Phenomena
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Comparability and Global-Closure Stress Tests in Contemporary Cosmology: A Diagnostic Perspective on Persistent Tensions

Danilo Tavella
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Galaxies: Formation, Evolution, Phenomena
article

Comparability and Global-Closure Stress Tests in Contemporary Cosmology: A Diagnostic Perspective on Persistent Tensions

Danilo Tavella
article en

Abstract

Modern cosmology combines heterogeneous observational probes that span different physical regimes, redshift ranges, and inference pipelines. While this integration has enabled remarkable precision, it has also revealed persistent tensions among independent observables, most notably in late-time expansion and structure growth parameters. This technical note presents a set of comparability and global-closure stress tests designed to assess the ability of standard cosmological models and conservative extensions to coherently account for multiple observational channels simultaneously. Rather than proposing new physical components or model modifications, the analysis adopts a diagnostic perspective, focusing on how enforced agreement within selected subsets of observables affects consistency across others. Geometric probes (CMB, BAO, supernovae), growth-related probes (large-scale structure, fσ₈), and integrated probes (gravitational lensing) are examined in terms of their mutual comparability and contribution to global closure. The results show that apparent resolutions of individual discrepancies typically correspond to a redistribution of residual mismatches, rather than a simultaneous improvement across independent observational channels. These findings suggest that persistent cosmological tensions may reflect structural limits in achieving global closure across heterogeneous datasets, highlighting the importance of explicitly testing comparability assumptions alongside continued model and data refinement.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Galaxies: Formation, Evolution, Phenomena
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