Mortgage pricing, borrower-based limits, and retention

• mortgage switching • customer retention • mortgage pricing • negotiated interest rates • macroprudential regulation • borrower-based limits This study examines how initial mortgage pricing and macroprudential lending limits shape the duration of the client–bank relationship. Using 14,020 Norwegian mortgage contracts issued between 2011 and 2022, we estimate a Cox proportional hazards model and a complementary difference-in-differences framework around the 2017 tightening of debt-to-income and loan-to-value caps. The results indicate that higher loan-to-value and debt-to-income ratios shorten relationship duration, while credit risk became less influential after 2017. Borrowers receiving the lowest initial rates are most likely to switch, consistent with stronger price sensitivity. The findings suggest that regulation shifts behavioral responses from risk-based to rule-based constraints. Although associational, the evidence contributes to the understanding of how pricing and regulation jointly affect customer retention and competition in mortgage markets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Finance research letters
Published
2026-01-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2026.109576
Primary Topic
Housing Market and Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Mortgage pricing, borrower-based limits, and retention

Are Oust, Endre J. Reite, Jakob Holst, Rune Bach
Finance research letters
Housing Market and Economics
article

Mortgage pricing, borrower-based limits, and retention

Are Oust, Endre J. Reite, Jakob Holst, Rune Bach
article en

Abstract

• mortgage switching • customer retention • mortgage pricing • negotiated interest rates • macroprudential regulation • borrower-based limits This study examines how initial mortgage pricing and macroprudential lending limits shape the duration of the client–bank relationship. Using 14,020 Norwegian mortgage contracts issued between 2011 and 2022, we estimate a Cox proportional hazards model and a complementary difference-in-differences framework around the 2017 tightening of debt-to-income and loan-to-value caps. The results indicate that higher loan-to-value and debt-to-income ratios shorten relationship duration, while credit risk became less influential after 2017. Borrowers receiving the lowest initial rates are most likely to switch, consistent with stronger price sensitivity. The findings suggest that regulation shifts behavioral responses from risk-based to rule-based constraints. Although associational, the evidence contributes to the understanding of how pricing and regulation jointly affect customer retention and competition in mortgage markets.

Finance research lettersVol. 92
Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 82%
Housing Market and Economics
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