Large-Signal Stability Analysis of VSC-HVDC System Based on T-S Fuzzy Model and Model-Free Predictive Control

Voltage source converter-based–high voltage direct current (VSC-HVDC) systems exhibit strong nonlinear characteristics that dominate their dynamic behavior under large disturbances, making large-signal stability assessment essential for secure operation. This paper proposes a large-signal stability analysis framework for VSC-HVDC systems. The framework combines a unified Takagi–Sugeno (T–S) fuzzy model with a model-free predictive control (MFPC) scheme to enlarge the estimated domain of attraction (DOA) and bring it closer to the true stability region. The global nonlinear dynamics are captured by integrating local linear sub-models corresponding to different operating regions into a single T–S fuzzy representation. A Lyapunov function is then constructed, and associated linear matrix inequality (LMI) conditions are derived to certify large-signal stability and estimate the DOA. To further reduce the conservatism of the LMI-based iterative search, we embed a genetic-algorithm-based optimizer into the model-free predictive controller. The optimizer guides the improved LMI iteration paths and enhances the DOA estimation. Simulation studies in MATLAB 2023b/Simulink on a benchmark VSC-HVDC system confirm the feasibility of the proposed approach and show a less conservative DOA estimate compared with conventional methods.