A Hybrid Hesitant Fuzzy DEMATEL-Entropy Weight Variation Coefficient Method for Low-Carbon Automotive Supply Chain Risk Assessment

In the context of a low-carbon economy, automotive parts supply chains face multifaceted risks, making an effective supply chain risk assessment model a crucial means of ensuring supply chain stability. Traditional evaluation methods struggle to comprehensively and accurately identify all influencing factors and their interrelationships in automotive parts supply chains. This article constructs an evaluation model based on the principle of symmetry. The “structural symmetry” is determined by the ratio of the completeness of risk dimension coverage in the indicator system to the precision of indicators, while “fusion symmetry” refers to the degree of equilibrium in information contribution during the fusion of subjective and objective weights. First, Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and the Delphi method are adopted to establish a risk evaluation index system, whereby structural symmetry is ensured by the equilibrium between the completeness of risk dimension coverage and the accuracy of indicators in the index system. Second, drawing on the symmetric fusion principle, this study proposes a hybrid evaluation approach integrating hesitant fuzzy DEMATEL with entropy weight-coefficient of variation (HDEC), and the fusion symmetry is guaranteed by the balanced integration of subjective and objective weight information. Finally, a case study of an automotive parts supply chain enterprise quantitatively assesses and ranks risk factors, with corresponding countermeasures proposed. The symmetry-guided HDEC method achieves high accuracy, identifying indicator–causal relationships. Compared with the traditional entropy-weighted AHP algorithm, the Pearson correlation coefficient is 0.8566, and Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient is 0.88, indicating strong weight correlation and robust stability. The integration of mathematical symmetry enhances the model’s theoretical rigor, which aligns with symmetry-oriented optimization research.