Analysis of Air Pollution in the Orontes River Basin in the Context of the Armed Conflict in Syria (2019–2024) Using Remote Sensing Data and Geoinformation Technologies

Rapid urbanization and anthropogenic activities have led to a significant deterioration of air quality, adversely affecting human health and ecosystems. The study of transboundary river basins, where air pollution is exacerbated by political and socio-economic factors, is of particular relevance. This paper presents the results of an analysis of the spatiotemporal distribution of pollutants (Aerosol Index (AI), Methane (CH4), Carbon Monoxide (CO), Formaldehyde (HCHO), Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2), Ozone (O3), Sulfur Dioxide (SO2)) in the ambient air within the Orontes River basin across Lebanon, Syria, and Turkey for the period 2019–2024. The research is based on satellite monitoring data (Copernicus Sentinel-5P), processed using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud-based platform and GIS technologies (ArcGIS 10.8). The dynamics of population density (LandScan) and the impact of military operations in Syria on air quality were additionally analyzed using media content analysis. The results showed that the highest concentrations of pollutants were recorded in Syria, which is associated with the destruction of infrastructure, military operations, and unregulated emissions. The main sources of pollution were: explosions, fires, and destruction during the conflict (aerosols, CO, NO2, SO2); methane (CH4) leaks from damaged oil and gas facilities; the use of low-quality fuels and waste burning. Atmospheric circulation contributed to the eastward transport of pollutants, minimizing their spread into Lebanon. Population density dynamics are related to changes in concentrations of pollutants (e.g., nitrogen dioxide). The results of the study highlight the need for international cooperation to monitor and reduce air pollution in transboundary regions, especially in the context of armed conflicts. The obtained data can be used to develop measures to improve the environmental situation and protect public health.