Day‐Ahead Area‐ <scp>PV</scp> ‐Output Prediction by Autoencoder with Normalized Image Data of Multiple Meteorological Elements

The amount of photovoltaic (PV) introduced in Japan is increasing year by year. On the other hand, the issue with PV is that the amount of power generated fluctuates due to changes in the weather, which can disrupt the power demand and supply balance and have negative effects on the power system. To address this issue, technology that accurately predicts PV power generation is essential. Therefore, we predicted total PV power generation for the next day in the Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) area. In this paper, we proposed a method that adds normalized images of variables forecasted from Meso‐Scale Model (MSM) of Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the average values of weather information indicating the characteristics of the area to the input of Autoencoder, and confirmed that prediction accuracy was improved. It was also shown that prediction accuracy could be further improved by adding daytime and solar altitude data. © 2026 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan and Wiley Periodicals LLC.

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Publication Details

Journal
IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Published
2026-01-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/tee.70252
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Day‐Ahead Area‐ PV ‐Output Prediction by Autoencoder with Normalized Image Data of Multiple Meteorological Elements

Yusuke Mori, Shinji WAKAO, Takahiro Takamatsu, Hideaki Ohtake et al.
IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

Day‐Ahead Area‐ PV ‐Output Prediction by Autoencoder with Normalized Image Data of Multiple Meteorological Elements

Yusuke Mori, Shinji WAKAO, Takahiro Takamatsu, Hideaki Ohtake, Yu Soke, Takashi Oozeki
article en

Abstract

The amount of photovoltaic (PV) introduced in Japan is increasing year by year. On the other hand, the issue with PV is that the amount of power generated fluctuates due to changes in the weather, which can disrupt the power demand and supply balance and have negative effects on the power system. To address this issue, technology that accurately predicts PV power generation is essential. Therefore, we predicted total PV power generation for the next day in the Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) area. In this paper, we proposed a method that adds normalized images of variables forecasted from Meso‐Scale Model (MSM) of Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the average values of weather information indicating the characteristics of the area to the input of Autoencoder, and confirmed that prediction accuracy was improved. It was also shown that prediction accuracy could be further improved by adding daytime and solar altitude data. © 2026 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan and Wiley Periodicals LLC.

IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Waseda University (JP), National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (JP)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 81%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
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