Predator response diversity to warming enables ecosystem resilience in the Galápagos

An important impact of global warming in nature is the decline of ecological functions such as primary production, habitat provision, and carbon sequestration. These functions can be disrupted when the species that perform them are impaired by anthropogenic warming or other stressors. Where there is a diversity of responses to warming among the species filling these roles, the function is more likely to be maintained despite the loss of the least tolerant species. However, the response diversity to warming of key functions is generally unknown, particularly for the roles played by predatory and marine species. Here, we show that the thermal sensitivity of predation to acute warming varies substantially among four marine invertebrate carnivores: three whelks and a sea star that inhabit rocky reefs around the Galápagos islands. Two of the four predators were clearly adapted to cooler temperatures and their functional performance declined dramatically with experimental warming. In contrast, predation by two whelks, and one in particular, improved with warming, including beyond temperatures expected in 2100 under the most pessimistic emissions scenario. These results suggest that a high level of temperature response diversity of predation could help maintain this critical function in a variable and changing environment.

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Publication Details

Journal
PLOS Climate
Published
2026-01-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000652
Primary Topic
Species Distribution and Climate Change
Type
article
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article

Predator response diversity to warming enables ecosystem resilience in the Galápagos

Isabel Silva, Nicole Chico-Ortiz, Haley Capone, Esteban Agudo-Adriani et al.
PLOS Climate
Species Distribution and Climate Change
article

Predator response diversity to warming enables ecosystem resilience in the Galápagos

Isabel Silva, Nicole Chico-Ortiz, Haley Capone, Esteban Agudo-Adriani, Margarita Brandt, John F. Bruno
article en

Abstract

An important impact of global warming in nature is the decline of ecological functions such as primary production, habitat provision, and carbon sequestration. These functions can be disrupted when the species that perform them are impaired by anthropogenic warming or other stressors. Where there is a diversity of responses to warming among the species filling these roles, the function is more likely to be maintained despite the loss of the least tolerant species. However, the response diversity to warming of key functions is generally unknown, particularly for the roles played by predatory and marine species. Here, we show that the thermal sensitivity of predation to acute warming varies substantially among four marine invertebrate carnivores: three whelks and a sea star that inhabit rocky reefs around the Galápagos islands. Two of the four predators were clearly adapted to cooler temperatures and their functional performance declined dramatically with experimental warming. In contrast, predation by two whelks, and one in particular, improved with warming, including beyond temperatures expected in 2100 under the most pessimistic emissions scenario. These results suggest that a high level of temperature response diversity of predation could help maintain this critical function in a variable and changing environment.

PLOS ClimateVol. 5(1)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 80%
Species Distribution and Climate Change
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