Firm-level climate policy uncertainty perception and the cost of equity capital: evidence from textual analysis

We construct a new firm-level climate policy uncertainty perception using textual data from the annual reports of Chinese listed firms, and investigate the effect of climate policy uncertainty perception on the cost of equity capital. The empirical results indicate that climate policy uncertainty perception significantly increases the cost of equity capital. The effect is more pronounced in firms with fewer green innovation activities, weaker ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) performance and private ownership. We further reveal that climate policy uncertainty perception affects the cost of equity capital by increasing corporate risk and lowing investor confidence. Our study constructs a novel measure of climate policy uncertainty at the firm level, and enhances the understanding of the economic consequences of climate policy uncertainty.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Applied Economics
Published
2026-01-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/15140326.2026.2618420
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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article

Firm-level climate policy uncertainty perception and the cost of equity capital: evidence from textual analysis

Shuxin Zhang, Tong Fang, Di Hu
Journal of Applied Economics
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Firm-level climate policy uncertainty perception and the cost of equity capital: evidence from textual analysis

Shuxin Zhang, Tong Fang, Di Hu
article en

Abstract

We construct a new firm-level climate policy uncertainty perception using textual data from the annual reports of Chinese listed firms, and investigate the effect of climate policy uncertainty perception on the cost of equity capital. The empirical results indicate that climate policy uncertainty perception significantly increases the cost of equity capital. The effect is more pronounced in firms with fewer green innovation activities, weaker ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) performance and private ownership. We further reveal that climate policy uncertainty perception affects the cost of equity capital by increasing corporate risk and lowing investor confidence. Our study constructs a novel measure of climate policy uncertainty at the firm level, and enhances the understanding of the economic consequences of climate policy uncertainty.

Journal of Applied EconomicsVol. 29(1)
Shandong University of Finance and Economics (CN), Capital University of Economics and Business (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 84%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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