Development of a deep learning-based framework for operational optimisation of municipal solid waste incinerators

• Operational parameters of MSW incinerators are optimized using Deep Learning. • KPIs of MSW incinerators are identified and then sorted using GBDT. • A BP neural network-based model is developed, trained and tested using these KPIs. • PSO is employed to optimize the operational parameters of MSW incinerators. • Results show 15.2% higher steam production from a conventional MSW incinerator. Combustion efficiency of Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) incinerators depends on numerous operational parameters like air flowrates, boiler feedwater temperature, conveyer speed etc. Optimising these operational parameters can lead to higher efficiency, reduce emissions and maximise waste-to-energy conversion however, the complex interdependence of these parameters makes it difficult to identify the optimal conditions on which to run the power plant. In this study, we develop a Deep Learning (DL) based framework to optimise the operation of MSW incinerators. Historical operational data from a 600 tonne/day MSW incinerator has been collected and ranked based on feature importance using Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDT). The dimensionally reduced dataset is used to train a Backpropagation Neural Network (BPNN) model, characterizing highly non-linear relationship between operational parameters and steam production from the MSW incinerator, achieving a mean relative error of 7.79% and prediction accuracy of 92.21%. Finally, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) is then employed to optimise the operational parameters. The optimisation process converged within 650 iterations (∼3 min), yielding increase in steam production from 2.7 t/t to 3.11 t/t waste, which is equivalent to 15.2% increase in the thermal efficiency of the MSW incinerator. The proposed DL-PSO framework enables automated optimisation of the operational parameters, minimising dependency on operator experience, providing a novel, practical and computationally efficient tool for enhancing the combustion performance of MSW incinerators and reducing emissions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Energy Conversion and Management X
Published
2026-01-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101610
Primary Topic
Thermochemical Biomass Conversion Processes
Type
article
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article

Development of a deep learning-based framework for operational optimisation of municipal solid waste incinerators

Rakesh Mishra, Taimoor Asim, Xiaozhou Liu, Zhenming Wen
Energy Conversion and Management X
Thermochemical Biomass Conversion Processes
article

Development of a deep learning-based framework for operational optimisation of municipal solid waste incinerators

Rakesh Mishra, Taimoor Asim, Xiaozhou Liu, Zhenming Wen
article en

Abstract

• Operational parameters of MSW incinerators are optimized using Deep Learning. • KPIs of MSW incinerators are identified and then sorted using GBDT. • A BP neural network-based model is developed, trained and tested using these KPIs. • PSO is employed to optimize the operational parameters of MSW incinerators. • Results show 15.2% higher steam production from a conventional MSW incinerator. Combustion efficiency of Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) incinerators depends on numerous operational parameters like air flowrates, boiler feedwater temperature, conveyer speed etc. Optimising these operational parameters can lead to higher efficiency, reduce emissions and maximise waste-to-energy conversion however, the complex interdependence of these parameters makes it difficult to identify the optimal conditions on which to run the power plant. In this study, we develop a Deep Learning (DL) based framework to optimise the operation of MSW incinerators. Historical operational data from a 600 tonne/day MSW incinerator has been collected and ranked based on feature importance using Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDT). The dimensionally reduced dataset is used to train a Backpropagation Neural Network (BPNN) model, characterizing highly non-linear relationship between operational parameters and steam production from the MSW incinerator, achieving a mean relative error of 7.79% and prediction accuracy of 92.21%. Finally, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) is then employed to optimise the operational parameters. The optimisation process converged within 650 iterations (∼3 min), yielding increase in steam production from 2.7 t/t to 3.11 t/t waste, which is equivalent to 15.2% increase in the thermal efficiency of the MSW incinerator. The proposed DL-PSO framework enables automated optimisation of the operational parameters, minimising dependency on operator experience, providing a novel, practical and computationally efficient tool for enhancing the combustion performance of MSW incinerators and reducing emissions.

Energy Conversion and Management XVol. 30
University of Huddersfield (GB), Guangdong University of Technology (CN), Robert Gordon University (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 80%
Thermochemical Biomass Conversion Processes
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