The Intensification Rate for Tropical Cyclones to Reach Category 1 and Above Intensity

Abstract While rapid intensification (RI, ≥30 kt/24hr) is known to be crucial for major hurricanes, the broader role of maximum intensification rate in shaping tropical cyclone (TC) lifetime maximum intensity (LMI) is less understood. Using global best‐track data from 1982 to 2023, we show that experiencing an intensification rate of 20–25 kt/24hr, defined as critical intensification (CI), is a fundamental prerequisite for reaching Category 1 or higher intensity (LMI ≥ 64 kt). storms achieving Category 1 or higher undergo CI. CI in early development stage initiates structural changes, such as contraction of the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and increase of intensity, that create favorable conditions for subsequent RI. of RI storms first experience CI, highlighting its precursor role. These findings identify CI as an important threshold shaping storm intensity pathways and provide new insight into the distribution of TC LMI.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-01-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119572
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

The Intensification Rate for Tropical Cyclones to Reach Category 1 and Above Intensity

Yuxia Fu, Zhenxin Ruan, Quan Wu
Geophysical Research Letters
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
article

The Intensification Rate for Tropical Cyclones to Reach Category 1 and Above Intensity

Yuxia Fu, Zhenxin Ruan, Quan Wu
article en

Abstract

Abstract While rapid intensification (RI, ≥30 kt/24hr) is known to be crucial for major hurricanes, the broader role of maximum intensification rate in shaping tropical cyclone (TC) lifetime maximum intensity (LMI) is less understood. Using global best‐track data from 1982 to 2023, we show that experiencing an intensification rate of 20–25 kt/24hr, defined as critical intensification (CI), is a fundamental prerequisite for reaching Category 1 or higher intensity (LMI ≥ 64 kt). storms achieving Category 1 or higher undergo CI. CI in early development stage initiates structural changes, such as contraction of the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and increase of intensity, that create favorable conditions for subsequent RI. of RI storms first experience CI, highlighting its precursor role. These findings identify CI as an important threshold shaping storm intensity pathways and provide new insight into the distribution of TC LMI.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(2)
Shanghai Jiao Tong University (CN), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Zhejiang Ocean University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, National Key Research and Development Program of China, Startup Foundation for Introducing Talent of Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 85%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
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