Comment on “Multimodal deep learning to predict postoperative major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after noncardiac surgery”

To the Editor, Yoon et al present a pragmatic multimodal deep-learning approach to predict 30-day major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) after noncardiac surgery, combining raw preoperative 12-lead ECG waveforms with only age, sex, and simplified ICD-10 procedure codes[1]. This low-burden input design directly addresses a key barrier to perioperative AI adoption – models that rely on extensive chart-derived features often fail to translate across workflows. This commentary was prepared in line with the TITAN 2025 guideline to promote transparent and responsible reporting[2]. The scale and validation strategy are notable (165 577 cases; MACCE 0.6%), including cross-validation and temporal validation[1]. The multimodal gradient-boosting model achieved excellent discrimination (AUROC 0.902) and outperformed a clinical-only baseline and conventional comparators (RCRI and ASA class)[1,3]. Importantly for rare-event prediction, improved AUPRC suggests gains beyond AUROC inflation in imbalanced outcomes[1]. Clinically, the work is compelling because ECGs are ubiquitous and inexpensive, yet their prognostic information is underused in perioperative decision-making. The finding that ECG-derived latent features add substantial signal echoes broader evidence that deep learning can extract clinically meaningful patterns from routine 12-lead ECGs at scale[4]. In parallel, contemporary perioperative guidance emphasizes structured cardiovascular risk assessment and targeted testing – an area where reliable, workflow-embedded prediction tools could reduce both missed risk and unnecessary investigations[5]. Several issues deserve emphasis before deployment. First, clinical utility will hinge on calibration and actionable thresholds aligned to care pathways (e.g., step-up monitoring, biomarker surveillance, cardiology review), not discrimination alone; prospective “decision impact” evaluation is therefore essential[1,5]. Second, the study is single-center without external validation; ECG acquisition, device vendors, coding practices, and perioperative management vary widely across institutions. Third, outcome ascertainment depends on EHR capture, which may miss events occurring outside the system – particularly relevant for 30-day cerebrovascular outcomes[1]. Overall, Yoon et al. advance scalable perioperative risk stratification by showing that raw ECG waveforms can materially enhance MACCE prediction using minimal additional inputs[1]. The next milestone is multicenter external validation and prospective implementation studies demonstrating that acting on model outputs improves patient-important outcomes without unintended over-intervention.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Surgery
Published
2026-01-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1097/js9.0000000000004804
Primary Topic
Cardiac, Anesthesia and Surgical Outcomes
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Comment on “Multimodal deep learning to predict postoperative major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after noncardiac surgery”

Liqiang Zhao
International Journal of Surgery
Cardiac, Anesthesia and Surgical Outcomes
article

Comment on “Multimodal deep learning to predict postoperative major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after noncardiac surgery”

Liqiang Zhao
article en

Abstract

To the Editor, Yoon et al present a pragmatic multimodal deep-learning approach to predict 30-day major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) after noncardiac surgery, combining raw preoperative 12-lead ECG waveforms with only age, sex, and simplified ICD-10 procedure codes[1]. This low-burden input design directly addresses a key barrier to perioperative AI adoption – models that rely on extensive chart-derived features often fail to translate across workflows. This commentary was prepared in line with the TITAN 2025 guideline to promote transparent and responsible reporting[2]. The scale and validation strategy are notable (165 577 cases; MACCE 0.6%), including cross-validation and temporal validation[1]. The multimodal gradient-boosting model achieved excellent discrimination (AUROC 0.902) and outperformed a clinical-only baseline and conventional comparators (RCRI and ASA class)[1,3]. Importantly for rare-event prediction, improved AUPRC suggests gains beyond AUROC inflation in imbalanced outcomes[1]. Clinically, the work is compelling because ECGs are ubiquitous and inexpensive, yet their prognostic information is underused in perioperative decision-making. The finding that ECG-derived latent features add substantial signal echoes broader evidence that deep learning can extract clinically meaningful patterns from routine 12-lead ECGs at scale[4]. In parallel, contemporary perioperative guidance emphasizes structured cardiovascular risk assessment and targeted testing – an area where reliable, workflow-embedded prediction tools could reduce both missed risk and unnecessary investigations[5]. Several issues deserve emphasis before deployment. First, clinical utility will hinge on calibration and actionable thresholds aligned to care pathways (e.g., step-up monitoring, biomarker surveillance, cardiology review), not discrimination alone; prospective “decision impact” evaluation is therefore essential[1,5]. Second, the study is single-center without external validation; ECG acquisition, device vendors, coding practices, and perioperative management vary widely across institutions. Third, outcome ascertainment depends on EHR capture, which may miss events occurring outside the system – particularly relevant for 30-day cerebrovascular outcomes[1]. Overall, Yoon et al. advance scalable perioperative risk stratification by showing that raw ECG waveforms can materially enhance MACCE prediction using minimal additional inputs[1]. The next milestone is multicenter external validation and prospective implementation studies demonstrating that acting on model outputs improves patient-important outcomes without unintended over-intervention.

International Journal of Surgery
Hainan Modern Women and Children's Hospital (CN)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions, Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 83%
Cardiac, Anesthesia and Surgical Outcomes
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.