Unraveling colorectal cancer incidence dynamics in Hong Kong 1983–2032 through age–period–cohort Bayesian projection and decomposition analysis

Although age-standardized CRC incidence rates are declining in Hong Kong, the absolute burden is expected to remain high due to population aging. These findings highlight the combined importance of addressing demographic aging and expanding organized screening to reduce future CRC burden.

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Publication Details

Journal
Archives of Public Health
Published
2026-01-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-026-01841-2
Primary Topic
Colorectal Cancer Screening and Detection
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Unraveling colorectal cancer incidence dynamics in Hong Kong 1983–2032 through age–period–cohort Bayesian projection and decomposition analysis

Jianfei Du, S R Li, Haifeng Sun, Zhihong Han et al.
Archives of Public Health
Colorectal Cancer Screening and Detection
article

Unraveling colorectal cancer incidence dynamics in Hong Kong 1983–2032 through age–period–cohort Bayesian projection and decomposition analysis

Jianfei Du, S R Li, Haifeng Sun, Zhihong Han, Mengyun Liang, Linlin Wei
article en

Abstract

Although age-standardized CRC incidence rates are declining in Hong Kong, the absolute burden is expected to remain high due to population aging. These findings highlight the combined importance of addressing demographic aging and expanding organized screening to reduce future CRC burden.

Archives of Public HealthVol. 84(1)
Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital (CN), Ningxia Medical University (CN), Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University (CN), Shaanxi Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine (CN), Xi'an Jiaotong University (CN)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 81%
Colorectal Cancer Screening and Detection
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