Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiography for Preoperatively Detecting Atrial Fibrillation and Mortality Risk in Patients with Sinus Rhythm
<b>Background:</b> Pre-existing atrial fibrillation (AF) and postoperative new-onset AF (NOAF) are independent perioperative risk factors associated with increased short-term mortality and adverse events. This study aimed to develop and validate an artificial intelligence (AI) model capable of detecting hidden AF, including both pre-existing AF and NOAF, from sinus rhythm electrocardiograms, to improve perioperative risks assessment. <b>Methods:</b> We trained and validated an AI model to detect hidden AF. Subsequent analysis confirmed the prognostic relevance of both pre-existing AF and NOAF in patients receiving non-cardiac surgery. The AI model was applied to patients without known AF to evaluate its predictive capability for NOAF and to stratify short-term clinical outcomes. <b>Results:</b> The AI model demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 during the development phase for predicting AF. In an independent validation cohort, pre-existing AF and postoperative NOAF were significantly correlated with increased 30-day all-cause mortality. Patients without pre-existing AF who were classified as high-risk by the AI model had substantially higher 30-day all-cause mortality than their low-risk counterparts (HR 17.33, 95% CI 5.29-56.75). Furthermore, the model scores surpassed conventional clinical risk scores in predicting NOAF and 30-day all-cause mortality. <b>Conclusions:</b> This AI-based approach facilitated the accurate identification of patients with elevated perioperative AF-related risk. It will facilitate focused interventions that may enhance clinical outcomes.
Authors
- Chih‐Lung Lin
- Wei-Ting Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3817-4079)
- Wen-Yu Lin
- Chiao-Chin Lee
- Jun-Ting Liou
- Dung-Jang Tsai
- Yung-Tsai Lee
- Tien-Ping Tsao
- Chiao-Hsiang Chang
- Cheng-Chung Cheng
- Chien-Sung Tsai
- Wei-Shiang Lin
- Chin-Sheng Lin
Institutions
- Cheng Hsin General Hospital (TW)
- National Defense Medical Center (TW)
Publication Details
- Journal
- International Journal of Medical Sciences
- Published
- 2026-01-14
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.7150/ijms.123598
- Primary Topic
- Atrial Fibrillation Management and Outcomes
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan
- Tri-Service General Hospital
- Medical Affairs Bureau